PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
M

Mjallby

Home Side
D L D L D
3W 5D 3L
VS
5:00 pm
UCL Qualifiers
L
Lincoln Red Imps
Away Side
D W W W D
8W 2D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Tuesday, 21st July 2026
Best Odds 1.44
Confidence 73%
Implied Prob 69.4%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals86% BTTS — Yes76%
Implied Prob
69.4%
Based on 1.44 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+3.6%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
11.6%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Mjallby
Metric
Lincoln Red Imps
2
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.7
9%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-5-3
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate Comparison
27%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
M0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 4.9%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.1%
M1
1-0 4.3%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 6.6%
1-4 3.5%
1-5 1.5%
M2
2-0 2.9%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
M3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.9%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
M4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.5%) 1-1 (9.0%) 0-2 (7.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   L=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Mjallby
Overall
4.1
Scoring
6.7
Defence
3.6
Lincoln Red Imps
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Mjallby
17.07.26ALL
Mjallby0
Vasteras SK0
D
11.07.26ALL
Mjallby1
AIK2
L
03.07.26ALL
Sirius4
Mjallby4
D
27.06.26CF
FC Copenhagen5
Mjallby3
L
24.06.26CF
Mjallby3
Halmstad3
D
25.05.26ALL
Goteborg1
Mjallby1
D
21.05.26ALL
Elfsborg1
Mjallby1
D
17.05.26ALL
Mjallby0
Hacken1
L
14.05.26CUP
Mjallby2
Hammarby1
W
09.05.26ALL
Degerfors1
Mjallby4
W
03.05.26ALL
Malmo FF2
Mjallby3
W
Lincoln Red Imps
14.07.26CL
Inter Escaldes1
Lincoln Red Imps1
D
07.07.26CL
Lincoln Red Imps3
Inter Escaldes1
W
25.04.26NL
Lincoln Red Imps4
Lynx1
W
18.04.26NL
Lincoln Red Imps2
Europa FC0
W
11.04.26NL
Lions Gibraltar1
Lincoln Red Imps1
D
05.04.26NL
Lincoln Red Imps2
Mons Calpe1
W
21.03.26NL
Lincoln Red Imps1
St Josephs0
W
14.03.26CUP
Mons Calpe0
Lincoln Red Imps5
W
05.03.26NL
Magpies1
Lincoln Red Imps2
W
01.03.26CUP
Lincoln Red Imps2
Lions Gibraltar1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Mjallby host Lincoln Red Imps at Strandvallen (Hällevik) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Mjallby arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from their last 11 outings.

Lincoln Red Imps are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this UCL Qualifiers preview lives.

The home team strides in on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Strandvallen (Hällevik), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.44, which the numbers settle at around 50,30,20%. The whistle goes at 5:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Mjallby's current form?
Mjallby have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 11 matches.
How has Lincoln Red Imps been performing recently?
Lincoln Red Imps have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game.
Scroll to Top
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.