PENDING
Result: 1 — Fenerbahce to win
DirectWinPredict UCL Qualifiers Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze
F

Fenerbahce

Home Side
W W W D W
6W 2D 2L
VS
7:00 pm
UCL Qualifiers
G
Gornik Zabrze
Away Side
L W D L W
5W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Fenerbahce to win — Tuesday, 21st July 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 60%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Fenerbahce to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-25.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Fenerbahce
Metric
Gornik Zabrze
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheet %
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
F0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 7.0%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
F2
2-0 6.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
F3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.4%) 1-0 (7.7%) 2-0 (6.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   G=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Fenerbahce Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Gornik Zabrze Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Fenerbahce
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.3
Gornik Zabrze
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Fenerbahce
14.07.26CF
LASK1
Fenerbahce2
W
11.07.26CF
Fenerbahce4
Pogon Szczecin0
W
08.07.26CF
Admira0
Fenerbahce5
W
17.05.26SL
Fenerbahce3
Eyupspor3
D
09.05.26SL
Konyaspor0
Fenerbahce3
W
02.05.26SL
Fenerbahce3
Basaksehir1
W
26.04.26SL
Galatasaray3
Fenerbahce0
L
21.04.26CUP
Konyaspor1
Fenerbahce0
L
17.04.26SL
Fenerbahce2
Rizespor2
D
11.04.26SL
Kayserispor0
Fenerbahce4
W
Gornik Zabrze
16.07.26SC
Lech Poznan3
Gornik Zabrze1
L
10.07.26CF
Nordsjaelland0
Gornik Zabrze2
W
04.07.26CF
Tirol0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
04.07.26CF
Salzburg2
Gornik Zabrze1
L
28.06.26CF
Hallescher1
Gornik Zabrze2
W
24.06.26CF
Gornik Zabrze3
Puszcza0
W
23.05.26EKS
Gornik Zabrze6
Radomiak Radom2
W
16.05.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Gornik Zabrze1
W
13.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
09.05.26EKS
Gornik Zabrze0
Zaglebie2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 21st July 2026, Fenerbahce host Gornik Zabrze at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Fenerbahce to win as the standout selection.

Fenerbahce arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Gornik Zabrze are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: fenerbahce to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this UCL Qualifiers preview lives.

The home team strides in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.17, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 7:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fenerbahce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our selection is 1 — Fenerbahce to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Fenerbahce's current form?
Fenerbahce have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gornik Zabrze been performing recently?
Gornik Zabrze have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game.
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