WON

Result: Zwickau 1-0 Hertha Zehlendorf

Zwickau

Home Side

W W D L L

2W 1D 2L

1-0

Ger. Regionalliga Nordost

Hertha Zehlendorf

Away Side

D L D L W

1W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Zwickau to win — Friday, 13th March 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 72.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Zwickau to win

1.38

Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

72.5%

Based on 1.38 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-22.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Zwickau

Draws

Hertha Zehlendorf

Meetings

33%

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

4.3

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Zwickau won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Zwickau

Metric

Hertha Zehlendorf

1.4

Goals For / Game

1.4

2.2

Goals Against / Game

1.6

Clean Sheet %

2-1-2

W — D — L

1-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

40%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.7%

0-1 6.6%

0-2 6.0%

0-3 3.6%

0-4 1.6%

0-5 0.6%

1-0 5.5%

1-1 10.0%

1-2 9.0%

1-3 5.4%

1-4 2.4%

1-5 0.9%

2-0 4.2%

2-1 7.5%

2-2 6.7%

2-3 4.0%

2-4 1.8%

2-5 0.7%

3-0 2.1%

3-1 3.7%

3-2 3.4%

3-3 2.0%

3-4 0.9%

3-5 0.3%

4-0 0.8%

4-1 1.4%

4-2 1.3%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.2%

5-1 0.4%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (7.5%) 1-0 (5.5%) 2-0 (4.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Z=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Zwickau Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Hertha Zehlendorf Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Zwickau

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

2.7 —

Hertha Zehlendorf

Overall

3.2 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%

Home Win & BTTS No 13%

Draw & BTTS Yes 23%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 26%

Home Win & Under 2.5 18%

Draw & Over 2.5 20%

Draw & Under 2.5 13%

Away Win & Over 2.5 14%

Away Win & Under 2.5 9%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ RL (Sep 19, 2025): Hertha Zehlendorf0

Zwickau1

⚽ RL (Dec 6, 2024): Zwickau4

Hertha Zehlendorf3

⚽ RL (Jul 27, 2024): Hertha Zehlendorf5

Zwickau0

Recent Form

Zwickau

⚽ RL (Mar 7, 2026): Magdeburg II1

Zwickau2

⚽ RL (Mar 3, 2026): Zwickau3

Babelsberg2

⚽ RL (Feb 28, 2026): Zwickau2

Altglienicke2

⚽ RL (Feb 22, 2026): Meuselwitz4

Zwickau0

⚽ CF (Jan 31, 2026): Eilenburg2

Zwickau0

Hertha Zehlendorf

⚽ RL (Mar 8, 2026): Hertha Zehlendorf1

Luckenwalde1

⚽ RL (Mar 4, 2026): Hertha Zehlendorf1

Hallescher4

⚽ RL (Mar 1, 2026): Hertha Zehlendorf1

Meuselwitz1

⚽ CF (Jan 24, 2026): Hertha Zehlendorf0

Hansa Rostock II1

⚽ CF (Jan 21, 2026): Hertha Zehlendorf4

Makkabi Berlin1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Zwickau host Hertha Zehlendorf in Ger. Regionalliga Nordost. We recommend Zwickau to win as the standout selection.

Zwickau arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Hertha Zehlendorf are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zwickau, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: zwickau to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Zwickau has been a formidable force at home. Their home record is borderline historic for the division, boasting an incredible 27-match unbeaten streak on their own turf. They currently sit on 42 points, built on a balanced approach of aggressive pressing and solid defensive shapes. While they have drawn a few too many games recently, their ability to grind out results in front of their fans is unmatched. They know how to control the tempo and close out games effectively when holding a lead.

Hertha Zehlendorf’s season, conversely, has been a nightmare. Anchored in 18th place with a mere 10 points and a staggering -22 goal difference, their survival hopes are fading fast. Their away form is particularly abysmal, failing to score in four of their last nine matches on the road. However, there is a slight glimmer of attacking hope; they have managed to find the net in their last six matches across all venues. Unfortunately, their defense usually completely undermines any offensive progress they make.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Zwickau vs Hertha Zehlendorf?

Our selection is 1 — Zwickau to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Zwickau's current form?

Zwickau have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Hertha Zehlendorf been performing recently?

Hertha Zehlendorf have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Zwickau lead with 2 wins versus Hertha Zehlendorf's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.

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