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Result: Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Shahaniya

Al Rayyan

Home Side

L W W W W

4W 0D 1L

1-2

Qatar QSL

Al Shahaniya

Away Side

W L L L L

1W 0D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Rayyan to win — Friday, 13th March 2026

Best Odds 1.31

Confidence 67%

Implied Prob 76.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Rayyan to win

1.31

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals100%

Implied Prob

76.3%

Based on 1.31 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-9.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Rayyan

Draws

Al Shahaniya

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

4.4

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Al Rayyan won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Rayyan

Metric

Al Shahaniya

2.4

Goals For / Game

Goals Against / Game

40%

Clean Sheet %

4-0-1

W — D — L

1-0-4

Win Rate Comparison

80%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 2.5%

0-2 1.2%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 6.7%

1-1 6.7%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 1.1%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.0%

2-1 9.0%

2-2 4.5%

2-3 1.5%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 8.1%

3-1 8.1%

3-2 4.1%

3-3 1.4%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 5.5%

4-1 5.5%

4-2 2.7%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 3.0%

5-1 3.0%

5-2 1.5%

5-3 0.5%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (9.0%) 2-1 (9.0%) 3-0 (8.1%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Al Rayyan Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Al Shahaniya Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Rayyan

Overall

8.0 —

Scoring

8.0 —

Defence

6.7 —

Al Shahaniya

Overall

2.0 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

0.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 40%

Draw & BTTS Yes 0%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Away Win & BTTS No 10%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 64%

Home Win & Under 2.5 16%

Draw & Over 2.5 0%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 16%

Away Win & Under 2.5 4%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ QSL (Nov 9, 2025): Al-Shahaniya1

Al Rayyan5

⚽ QSL (Feb 8, 2025): Al-Shahaniya2

Al Rayyan1

⚽ QSL (Sep 13, 2024): Al Rayyan4

Al-Shahaniya2

⚽ QSC (Aug 30, 2024): Al Rayyan1

Al-Shahaniya0

⚽ CF (Jan 31, 2024): Al Rayyan4

Al-Shahaniya2

Recent Form

Al Rayyan

⚽ QSL (Feb 26, 2026): Al-Gharafa3

Al Rayyan2

⚽ QSL (Feb 22, 2026): Al Rayyan2

Al Ahli Doha1

⚽ GCC (Feb 17, 2026): Al Rayyan3

Al Nahda1

⚽ EMI (Feb 14, 2026): Al Rayyan2

Al Khor0

⚽ GCC (Feb 11, 2026): Tadamone Hadramout0

Al Rayyan3

Al Shahaniya

⚽ QSL (Feb 27, 2026): Al Ahli Doha1

Al-Shahaniya2

⚽ QSL (Feb 20, 2026): Al-Shahaniya3

Qatar SC4

⚽ EMI (Feb 13, 2026): Al-Shahaniya0

Al Arabi2

⚽ QSL (Feb 5, 2026): Al-Sadd4

Al-Shahaniya0

⚽ QSL (Jan 29, 2026): Al Wakra4

Al-Shahaniya0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Friday night football in the Qatar Stars League brings us a classic mismatch on paper, as fourth-placed Al Rayyan takes on basement-dwellers Al Shahaniya. While the table indicates a heavy advantage for the hosts, recent inconsistencies from both camps add an element of unpredictability to the tie.

Al Rayyan currently sits on 28 points and is desperate to bounce back after a frustrating 3-2 defeat to Al Gharafa. Their form has been a mixed bag over the past month, marked by defensive lapses that have seen them concede nine goals in their last five games. However, their attacking unit remains incredibly potent. When they dictate possession, they create high-quality chances, and they generally dominate lower-tier opposition through sheer technical superiority and quick passing triangles.

Al Shahaniya, stranded in 12th place with just 14 points, secured a rare and morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Al Ahli Doha in their last outing. This recent win proves they can grind out results when their backs are against the wall. That being said, their historical record against Al Rayyan is grim. In November 2025, they were completely dismantled in a 5-1 thrashing. Containing Al Rayyan’s fluid passing game will require a flawless defensive performance, something Al Shahaniya has rarely produced this season.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya?

Our selection is 1 — Al Rayyan to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 67%.

What is Al Rayyan's current form?

Al Rayyan have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Al Shahaniya been performing recently?

Al Shahaniya have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Rayyan lead with 4 wins versus Al Shahaniya's 1, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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