PENDING
Result: 2 — Briton Ferry to win
DirectWinPredict Wales Cymru Premier Llanelli vs Briton Ferry
L

Llanelli

Home Side
D L D L L
0W 2D 3L
VS
Wales Cymru Premier
B
Briton Ferry
Away Side
W D L W W
3W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Briton Ferry to win — Friday, 13th March 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 73.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
1
Llanelli
0
Draws
4
Briton Ferry
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Briton Ferry won 4 of 5 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Llanelli
Metric
Briton Ferry
0.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
0-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
0%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 11.3%
0-3 5.6%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
L1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
L2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (15.0%) 0-2 (11.3%) 1-2 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Llanelli Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Briton Ferry Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Llanelli
Overall
1.2
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
Briton Ferry
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 40%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Sep 23, 2025): Briton Ferry1
Llanelli2
⚽ PL (Aug 22, 2025): Llanelli2
Briton Ferry4
⚽ FAW (Apr 13, 2024): Llanelli2
Briton Ferry5
⚽ FAC (Dec 8, 2023): Briton Ferry1
Llanelli0
Recent Form
Llanelli
⚽ PL (Feb 27, 2026): Bala0
Llanelli0
⚽ PL (Feb 20, 2026): Llanelli0
Haverfordwest1
⚽ PL (Feb 13, 2026): Cardiff Metropolitan1
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Feb 7, 2026): Llanelli0
Flint2
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
Briton Ferry
⚽ PL (Feb 21, 2026): Briton Ferry2
Bala1
⚽ PL (Feb 14, 2026): Flint0
Briton Ferry0
⚽ PL (Feb 06, 2026): Briton Ferry0
Haverfordwest2
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Jan 13, 2026): Haverfordwest2
Briton Ferry3
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Llanelli host Briton Ferry in Wales Cymru Premier. We recommend Briton Ferry to win as the standout selection.

Llanelli arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Briton Ferry are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 1D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Llanelli, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Briton Ferry's 4, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: briton ferry to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


A crucial bottom-half battle takes place in the Welsh top flight as struggling Llanelli hosts eighth-placed Briton Ferry. The contrasting trajectories of these two sides make this a fascinating tactical matchup, even if the league table suggests a clear favorite.

Llanelli finds themselves anchored to the bottom of the table in 12th place with a mere 10 points from 27 matches. Their defensive record is historically poor, having conceded a staggering 66 goals while only scoring 14. Confidence is completely drained from the squad following a dismal run of form that includes zero wins in their last five matches. A porous backline and an anemic attack mean they routinely struggle to control the tempo of games, often retreating into a defensive shell that inevitably cracks under sustained pressure.

Conversely, Briton Ferry comes into this fixture riding a wave of positive momentum. With 32 points, they are looking upward. They have secured three wins in their last five outings, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Bala Town. More importantly, they have already dominated Llanelli this season, comfortably dispatching them 3-1 back in January. Their attack, spearheaded by Ollie Anderson, generates chances efficiently, particularly from wide areas where Llanelli is notoriously weak.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Llanelli vs Briton Ferry?
Our selection is 2 — Briton Ferry to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Llanelli's current form?
Llanelli have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
How has Briton Ferry been performing recently?
Briton Ferry have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Llanelli lead with 1 wins versus Briton Ferry's 4, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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