PENDING
Result: 2 — Briton Ferry to win
DirectWinPredict › Wales Cymru Premier› Llanelli vs Briton Ferry
L

Llanelli

Home Side
D L D L L
0W 2D 3L
VS
—
Wales Cymru Premier
B
Briton Ferry
Away Side
W D L W W
3W 1D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Briton Ferry to win — Friday, 13th March 2026
Best Odds 1.36
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 73.5%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
⚔ Head to Head Record
1
Llanelli
0
Draws
4
Briton Ferry
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
4.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Briton Ferry won 4 of 5 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Llanelli
Metric
Briton Ferry
0.4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
0-2-3
W — D — L
3-1-1
Win Rate Comparison
0%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
L0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 15.0%
0-2 11.3%
0-3 5.6%
0-4 2.1%
0-5 0.6%
L1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
L2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 4.8%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (15.0%) 0-2 (11.3%) 1-2 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Llanelli Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Briton Ferry Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Llanelli
Overall
1.2 —
Scoring
1.3 —
Defence
5.3 —
Briton Ferry
Overall
6.6 —
Scoring
5.3 —
Defence
6.0 —
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Home Win & BTTS No 0%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 34%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 0%
Home Win & Under 2.5 0%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 40%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Sep 23, 2025): Briton Ferry1
Llanelli2
⚽ PL (Aug 22, 2025): Llanelli2
Briton Ferry4
⚽ FAW (Apr 13, 2024): Llanelli2
Briton Ferry5
⚽ FAC (Dec 8, 2023): Briton Ferry1
Llanelli0
Recent Form
Llanelli
⚽ PL (Feb 27, 2026): Bala0
Llanelli0
⚽ PL (Feb 20, 2026): Llanelli0
Haverfordwest1
⚽ PL (Feb 13, 2026): Cardiff Metropolitan1
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Feb 7, 2026): Llanelli0
Flint2
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
Briton Ferry
⚽ PL (Feb 21, 2026): Briton Ferry2
Bala1
⚽ PL (Feb 14, 2026): Flint0
Briton Ferry0
⚽ PL (Feb 06, 2026): Briton Ferry0
Haverfordwest2
⚽ PL (Jan 23, 2026): Briton Ferry3
Llanelli1
⚽ PL (Jan 13, 2026): Haverfordwest2
Briton Ferry3
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

A crucial bottom-half battle takes place in the Welsh top flight as struggling Llanelli hosts eighth-placed Briton Ferry. The contrasting trajectories of these two sides make this a fascinating tactical matchup, even if the league table suggests a clear favorite.

Llanelli finds themselves anchored to the bottom of the table in 12th place with a mere 10 points from 27 matches. Their defensive record is historically poor, having conceded a staggering 66 goals while only scoring 14. Confidence is completely drained from the squad following a dismal run of form that includes zero wins in their last five matches. A porous backline and an anemic attack mean they routinely struggle to control the tempo of games, often retreating into a defensive shell that inevitably cracks under sustained pressure.

Conversely, Briton Ferry comes into this fixture riding a wave of positive momentum. With 32 points, they are looking upward. They have secured three wins in their last five outings, including a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Bala Town. More importantly, they have already dominated Llanelli this season, comfortably dispatching them 3-1 back in January. Their attack, spearheaded by Ollie Anderson, generates chances efficiently, particularly from wide areas where Llanelli is notoriously weak.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Llanelli vs Briton Ferry?
Our selection is 2 — Briton Ferry to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Llanelli's current form?
Llanelli have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
How has Briton Ferry been performing recently?
Briton Ferry have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Llanelli lead with 1 wins versus Briton Ferry's 4, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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