Ligue 1
Marseille VS Auxerre
AI Consensus Pick
1X
(Marseille to win or draw)
Algo Confidence
60%
★★★☆☆
Bookmaker Odds
1.12
Implied Prob: 89.3%
Betting Edge (EV)
-29.3%
Value indicator

Marseille

Home Team
W
L
W
L
D
Active Streak: 1 Match Winning

Auxerre

Away Team
D
D
L
W
D
Active Streak: 2 Match Drawing
Algorithmic Matchup
1.6
Goals Scored/G
1
1.6
Goals Conceded/G
1.2
1.76
Predicted xG
(Approx)
0.90
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
Head to Head
⚽ L1 (Nov 1, 2025): AuxerreMarseille
0
1
⚽ L1 (Feb 22, 2025): AuxerreMarseille
3
0
⚽ L1 (Nov 8, 2024): MarseilleAuxerre
1
3
⚽ L1 (Apr 30, 2023): MarseilleAuxerre
2
1
⚽ L1 (Sep 3, 2022): AuxerreMarseille
0
2
Power Ratings

Marseille

Overall5.2
Scoring5.3
Defence4.7

Auxerre

Overall3.8
Scoring3.3
Defence6.0
Editor's Analysis

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Marseille host Auxerre in Ligue 1. We recommend Marseille to win or draw as the standout selection.

Marseille arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Auxerre are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 1L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marseille, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Auxerre's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marseille to win or draw at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Marseille’s home form has been nothing short of spectacular. They are unbeaten in their last five matches at the Vélodrome, scoring at least twice in each of those encounters. Armed with the league’s second-best attacking record, 53 goals in 25 rounds, their offensive firepower is undeniable. Players like Mason Greenwood have turned their home ground into a fortress. However, their defense can occasionally be exposed; they are the only team in the current top four to have conceded over 30 goals this season, meaning they rely heavily on simply outscoring the opposition.

Auxerre arrives sitting in 16th place with just 19 points, enduring their worst-ever Ligue 1 campaign at this stage. They have managed just one win in their last ten league outings and are leaking goals, having conceded 35 times. A troubling statistic for the visitors is their inability to recover; they have lost 14 of the 15 league matches in which they conceded first. To get anything from this game, Auxerre will have to rely on a low block, immense luck, and quick counter-attacks.

Smart FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marseille vs Auxerre?
Our selection is 1X — Marseille to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Marseille's current form?
Marseille have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Auxerre been performing recently?
Auxerre have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Marseille lead with 3 wins versus Auxerre's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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