WON
Result: Dyn Kyiv 2-1 Obolon
DirectWinPredict Ukraine Premier League Dyn Kyiv vs Obolon
D

Dyn Kyiv

Home Side
W W W W W
5W 0D 0L
VS
2-1
Ukraine Premier League
O
Obolon
Away Side
D W W D D
2W 3D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Dyn Kyiv to win — Friday, 13th March 2026
Best Odds 1.23
Confidence 72%
Implied Prob 81.3%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Dyn Kyiv to win
1.23
BTTS — No70% Dyn Kyiv Clean Sheet80% Obolon Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
81.3%
Based on 1.23 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-9.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Dyn Kyiv
1
Draws
1
Obolon
5
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Dyn Kyiv won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Dyn Kyiv
Metric
Obolon
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
80%
Clean Sheet %
60%
5-0-0
W — D — L
2-3-0
Win Rate Comparison
100%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
D0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 13.6%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 10.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (13.6%) 2-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (9.2%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   O=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Dyn Kyiv Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Obolon Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Dyn Kyiv
Overall
10.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.3
Obolon
Overall
5.8
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 41%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
⚽ PL (Sep 13, 2025): Obolon2
Dyn. Kyiv2
⚽ PL (Apr 18, 2025): Dyn. Kyiv3
Obolon0
⚽ PL (Oct 19, 2024): Obolon1
Dyn. Kyiv5
⚽ PL (Dec 11, 2023): Dyn. Kyiv2
Obolon0
⚽ CUP (Sep 27, 2023): Obolon1
Dyn. Kyiv0
Recent Form
Dyn Kyiv
⚽ PL (Mar 8, 2026): Polissya Zhytomyr1
Dyn. Kyiv2
⚽ CUP (Mar 3, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv2
Inhulets0
⚽ PL (Feb 27, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv4
Epitsentr0
⚽ PL (Feb 20, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv1
Rukh Lviv0
⚽ CF (Feb 14, 2026): Dyn. Kyiv2
RFS0
Obolon
PL (Mar 7, 2026): Obolon0
Kryvbas0
⚽ PL (Mar 1, 2026): Obolon1
Rukh Lviv0
⚽ PL (Feb 23, 2026): Oleksandriya0
Obolon (Awarded)3
⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Obolon1
Pakhtakor1
⚽ CF (Feb 12, 2026): Obolon3
Koge3
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Dyn Kyiv host Obolon in Ukraine Premier League. We recommend Dyn Kyiv to win as the standout selection.

Dyn Kyiv arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Obolon are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 3D 0L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dyn Kyiv, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Obolon's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dyn kyiv to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Dynamo Kyiv enters the fixture in commanding form. They are firmly entrenched in the title race, relying on a disciplined defensive structure and clinical finishing. In domestic play, they control the tempo effortlessly, utilizing quick transitions and overlapping fullbacks to overwhelm opponents. Their squad depth allows them to rotate without a drop in quality, ensuring high energy levels throughout the 90 minutes. A solid home advantage further boosts their confidence; they rarely drop points in these types of lopsided fixtures.

Obolon’s season has been a grueling battle against the drop. They sit dangerously close to the relegation zone and have struggled to find consistent goal-scoring form. Their strategy against top-tier teams usually involves parking the bus and hoping to snatch a goal on a set-piece or a rare counter-attack. However, maintaining that level of concentration against Dynamo’s relentless pressure is a massive ask. Their away record against the top four teams is particularly concerning, often yielding heavy defeats.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dyn Kyiv vs Obolon?
Our selection is 1 — Dyn Kyiv to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Dyn Kyiv's current form?
Dyn Kyiv have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Obolon been performing recently?
Obolon have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dyn Kyiv lead with 3 wins versus Obolon's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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