WON

Result: St Etienne W 0-3 Paris FC W

St Etienne W

Home Side

L L L W L

1W 2D 7L

0-3

Premiere Ligue Women

Paris FC W

Away Side

W W W L L

6W 0D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Paris FC W to win — Saturday, 21st March 2026

Best Odds 1.33

Confidence 60%

Implied Prob 75.2%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Paris FC W to win

1.33

Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No95% Paris FC W Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

75.2%

Based on 1.33 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-15.2%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

St Etienne W

Draws

Paris FC W

Meetings

56%

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

3.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Paris FC W won 7 of 9 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

St Etienne W

Metric

Paris FC W

Goals For / Game

1.6

Goals Against / Game

1.1

Clean Sheet %

60%

1-2-7

W — D — L

6-0-4

Win Rate Comparison

10%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 25.9%

0-1 20.7%

0-2 8.3%

0-3 2.2%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 14.3%

1-1 11.4%

1-2 4.6%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 3.9%

2-1 3.1%

2-2 1.3%

2-3 0.3%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 0.7%

3-1 0.6%

3-2 0.2%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.1%

4-1 0.1%

4-2 0.0%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (20.7%) 0-2 (8.3%) 1-2 (4.6%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ P=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

St Etienne W Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Paris FC W Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

St Etienne W

Overall

1.6 ▲

Scoring

0.0 ▲

Defence

10.0 ▲

Paris FC W

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%

Home Win & BTTS No 12%

Draw & BTTS Yes 1%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%

Away Win & BTTS No 70%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 4%

Home Win & Under 2.5 9%

Draw & Over 2.5 4%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 22%

Away Win & Under 2.5 52%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

26.09.25

PL: Paris FC W2

Saint-Étienne0

14.02.25

PL: Paris FC W4

Saint-Étienne0

05.10.24

PL: Saint-Étienne W1

Paris FC0

17.08.24

CF: Saint-Étienne W1

Paris FC2

19.04.24

PL: Paris FC W0

Saint-Étienne1

11.11.23

PL: Saint-Étienne W1

Paris FC6

01.09.23

CF: Paris FC W6

Saint-Étienne2

05.02.22

PL: Paris FC W2

Saint-Étienne1

02.10.21

PL: Saint-Étienne W1

Paris FC3

Recent Form

St Etienne W

11.03.26

PL: Dijon W2

Saint-Étienne W0

21.02.26

PL: Saint-Étienne W0

Strasbourg W2

08.02.26

PL: Lyon W4

Saint-Étienne W0

31.01.26

PL: Saint-Étienne W1

Le Havre W1

17.01.26

PL: Saint-Étienne W0

Nantes W1

14.01.26

PL: Marseille W0

Saint-Étienne W1

10.01.26

COU: Saint-Étienne W0

Lyon W6

20.12.25

PL: Saint-Étienne W0

Dijon W1

13.12.25

PL: Fleury 91 W0

Saint-Étienne W0

05.12.25

PL: Lens W1

Saint-Étienne W0

Paris FC W

15.03.26

COU: Caen W0

Paris FC W2

11.03.26

PL: Paris FC W3

Strasbourg W0

22.02.26

PL: Le Havre W0

Paris FC W4

18.02.26

CL: Real Madrid W2

Paris FC W0

14.02.26

CLF: PSG W3

Paris FC W0

11.02.26

CL: Paris FC W2

Real Madrid W3

07.02.26

PL: Paris FC W0

PSG W3

04.02.26

CLF: Paris FC W1

Lens W0

30.01.26

PL: Marseille W0

Paris FC W3

25.01.26

COU: Saint-Malo W0

Paris FC W1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Premiere Ligue Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.33 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for St Etienne W vs Paris FC W?

Our selection is 2 — Paris FC W to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 60%.

What is St Etienne W's current form?

St Etienne W have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.

How has Paris FC W been performing recently?

Paris FC W have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

St Etienne W lead with 0 wins versus Paris FC W's 7, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.

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