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Result: Sion 1-1 Winterthur

Sion

Home Side

L D W L W

2W 1D 2L

1-1

Swiss Super League

Winterthur

Away Side

D L L L L

0W 1D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Sion to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026

Best Odds 1.29

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 77.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Sion to win

1.29

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

77.5%

Based on 1.29 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-27.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Sion

Draws

Winterthur

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Sion won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Sion

Metric

Winterthur

1.2

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

3.4

40%

Clean Sheet %

2-1-2

W — D — L

0-1-4

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 4.5%

0-1 3.6%

0-2 1.4%

0-3 0.4%

0-4 0.1%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 10.4%

1-1 8.3%

1-2 3.3%

1-3 0.9%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.9%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 3.8%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 9.1%

3-1 7.3%

3-2 2.9%

3-3 0.8%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 5.3%

4-1 4.2%

4-2 1.7%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 2.4%

5-1 1.9%

5-2 0.8%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-0 (11.9%) 1-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (9.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ W=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Sion Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Winterthur Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Sion

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Winterthur

Overall

0.6 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

0.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%

Home Win & BTTS No 27%

Draw & BTTS Yes 20%

Draw & BTTS No 13%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 40%

Home Win & Under 2.5 27%

Draw & Over 2.5 20%

Draw & Under 2.5 13%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ SL (Jan 14, 2026): Sion2

Winterthur0

⚽ SL (Sep 14, 2025): Winterthur2

Sion3

⚽ SL (May 22, 2025): Winterthur2

Sion0

⚽ SL (Apr 2, 2025): Sion1

Winterthur2

⚽ SL (Dec 1, 2024): Winterthur1

Sion3

Recent Form

Sion

⚽ SL (Mar 4, 2026): Lugano2

Sion1

⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): Servette0

Sion0

⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): Sion3

Young Boys1

⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Thun1

Sion0

⚽ SL (Feb 12, 2026): Sion2

Basel0

Winterthur

⚽ SL (Mar 3, 2026): Winterthur1

Servette1

⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): St. Gallen2

Winterthur1

⚽ SL (Feb 25, 2026): Winterthur0

Thun3

⚽ SL (Feb 18, 2026): Winterthur1

St. Gallen5

⚽ SL (Feb 14, 2026): Young Boys6

Winterthur1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Sion host Winterthur in Swiss Super League. We recommend Sion to win as the standout selection.

Sion arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Winterthur are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 1D 4L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sion, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Winterthur's 2, with 0 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: sion to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Sion enters this home fixture as heavy favorites, and for good reason. They have turned their home ground into a fortress, and the historical “most common result” of 2-0 against Winterthur looms large. Winterthur is currently enduring a dismal run of form, characterized by a five-game losing streak and a glaring inability to find the net on their travels.

Form & H2H: Sion has won 9 of the last 17 meetings between these two, while Winterthur has failed to cover the handicap in 70% of their recent away games.

Analysis: This is a must-win for Sion to maintain their European aspirations. Winterthur’s defensive approach is likely to be its only tool, but Sion’s efficiency at home should break them down.

Prediction: Sion to win.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Sion vs Winterthur?

Our selection is 1 — Sion to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Sion's current form?

Sion have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Winterthur been performing recently?

Winterthur have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Sion lead with 3 wins versus Winterthur's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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