LOST
Result:
Sion 1-1 Winterthur
S
Sion
Home Side
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L
VS
1-1
W
Winterthur
Away Side
D
L
L
L
L
0W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Sion to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026
Best Odds
1.29
Confidence
50%
Implied Prob
77.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Sion to win
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
77.5%
Based on 1.29 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-27.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
3
Sion
0
Draws
2
Winterthur
5
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
3.2
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Sion won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Sion
Metric
Winterthur
1.2
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
3.4
40%
Clean Sheet %
0%
2-1-2
W — D — L
0-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
S0
0-0
4.5%
0-1
3.6%
0-2
1.4%
0-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
0-5
0.0%
S1
1-0
10.4%
1-1
8.3%
1-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
1-5
0.0%
S2
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
1.0%
2-4
0.2%
2-5
0.0%
S3
3-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
3-5
0.0%
S4
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
4-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
4-5
0.0%
S5
5-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
2-0 (11.9%)
1-0 (10.4%)
2-1 (9.5%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ W=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sion Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Winterthur Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
40%
Home Win & BTTS No
27%
Draw & BTTS Yes
20%
Draw & BTTS No
13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
40%
Home Win & Under 2.5
27%
Draw & Over 2.5
20%
Draw & Under 2.5
13%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ SL (Jan 14, 2026): Sion2
Winterthur0
⚽ SL (Sep 14, 2025): Winterthur2
Sion3
⚽ SL (May 22, 2025): Winterthur2
Sion0
⚽ SL (Apr 2, 2025): Sion1
Winterthur2
⚽ SL (Dec 1, 2024): Winterthur1
Sion3
Recent Form
Sion
⚽ SL (Mar 4, 2026): Lugano2
Sion1
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): Servette0
Sion0
⚽ SL (Feb 22, 2026): Sion3
Young Boys1
⚽ SL (Feb 15, 2026): Thun1
Sion0
⚽ SL (Feb 12, 2026): Sion2
Basel0
Winterthur
⚽ SL (Mar 3, 2026): Winterthur1
Servette1
⚽ SL (Feb 28, 2026): St. Gallen2
Winterthur1
⚽ SL (Feb 25, 2026): Winterthur0
Thun3
⚽ SL (Feb 18, 2026): Winterthur1
St. Gallen5
⚽ SL (Feb 14, 2026): Young Boys6
Winterthur1
Match Analysis
Writeup
Sion enters this home fixture as heavy favorites, and for good reason. They have turned their home ground into a fortress, and the historical “most common result” of 2-0 against Winterthur looms large. Winterthur is currently enduring a dismal run of form, characterized by a five-game losing streak and a glaring inability to find the net on their travels.
Form & H2H: Sion has won 9 of the last 17 meetings between these two, while Winterthur has failed to cover the handicap in 70% of their recent away games.
Analysis: This is a must-win for Sion to maintain their European aspirations. Winterthur’s defensive approach is likely to be its only tool, but Sion’s efficiency at home should break them down.
Prediction: Sion to win.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sion vs Winterthur?
Our selection is 1 — Sion to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Sion's current form?
Sion have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
How has Winterthur been performing recently?
Winterthur have recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sion lead with 3 wins versus Winterthur's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.