PENDING

Result: Al Nassr 1-0 Neom SC

Al Nassr

Home Side

W W W W W

5W 0D 0L

1-0

Saudi Professional League

Neom SC

Away Side

L D W L W

2W 1D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Al Nassr to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026

Best Odds 1.23

Confidence 78%

Implied Prob 81.3%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Al Nassr to win

1.23

BTTS — No70% Al Nassr Clean Sheet80%

Implied Prob

81.3%

Based on 1.23 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-3.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Al Nassr

Draws

Neom SC

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Al Nassr won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Al Nassr

Metric

Neom SC

Goals For / Game

0.8

0.2

Goals Against / Game

0.8

80%

Clean Sheet %

40%

5-0-0

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate Comparison

100%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 4.5%

0-2 1.1%

0-3 0.2%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.2%

1-1 8.6%

1-2 2.2%

1-3 0.4%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 16.4%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 2.1%

2-3 0.3%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 10.4%

3-1 5.2%

3-2 1.3%

3-3 0.2%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.9%

4-1 2.5%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.9%

5-1 0.9%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (17.2%) 2-0 (16.4%) 3-0 (10.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ N=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Al Nassr

Overall

10.0 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

9.3 —

Neom SC

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

7.3 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Home Win & BTTS No 47%

Draw & BTTS Yes 2%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Away Win & BTTS No 18%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 27%

Home Win & Under 2.5 40%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 10%

Away Win & Under 2.5 16%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ SPL (Nov 8, 2025): Neom SC1

Al Nassr3

Recent Form

Al Nassr

⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Al Fayha1

Al Nassr3

⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Najma0

Al Nassr5

⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Nassr4

Al Hazem0

⚽ CL2 (Feb 18, 2026): Al Nassr1

Arkadag0

⚽ SPL (Feb 14, 2026): Al Fateh0

Al Nassr2

Neom SC

⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Neom SC1

Al Kholood2

⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Fayha1

Neom SC1

⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Khaleej0

Neom SC1

⚽ SPL (Feb 12, 2026): Al Qadsiah1

Neom SC0

⚽ SPL (Feb 6, 2026): Neom SC1

Al Riyadh0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Al Nassr host Neom SC in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Nassr to win as the standout selection.

Al Nassr arrive in strong form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Neom SC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Nassr, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al nassr to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

The Jorge Jesus-led Al Nassr is on a relentless title charge, sitting at the top of the table. They face Neom SC, a team that has been inconsistent, sitting 8th and coming off a disappointing loss to Al Kholood.

Form & H2H: Al Nassr has a perfect record in their last 5 games, scoring 19 goals. Neom SC is missing key goalkeeper Marcin Bułka due to a long-term injury, which is a massive blow.

Analysis: With a 3-1 victory in their last encounter, Al Nassr has the psychological edge. Given Neom’s defensive vulnerabilities and Al Nassr’s firepower (averaging nearly 3 goals a game), a home win is the only logical conclusion. Prediction: Al Nassr to win.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Our selection is 1 — Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 78%.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Neom SC been performing recently?

Neom SC have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Al Nassr lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

🔗 More Tips Today Related