PENDING
Result:
Al Nassr 1-0 Neom SC
A
Al Nassr
Home Side
W
W
W
W
W
5W 0D 0L
VS
1-0
N
Neom SC
Away Side
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Al Nassr to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026
Best Odds
1.23
Confidence
78%
Implied Prob
81.3%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Nassr to win
1.23
BTTS — No70%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
81.3%
Based on 1.23 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-3.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Nassr
0
Draws
0
Neom SC
1
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Al Nassr won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Nassr
Metric
Neom SC
3
Goals For / Game
0.8
0.2
Goals Against / Game
0.8
80%
Clean Sheet %
40%
5-0-0
W — D — L
2-1-2
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0
9.1%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
1.1%
0-3
0.2%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
A1
1-0
17.2%
1-1
8.6%
1-2
2.2%
1-3
0.4%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
A2
2-0
16.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
A3
3-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
A4
4-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
A5
5-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (17.2%)
2-0 (16.4%)
3-0 (10.4%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ N=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
20%
Home Win & BTTS No
47%
Draw & BTTS Yes
2%
Draw & BTTS No
5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
8%
Away Win & BTTS No
18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
27%
Home Win & Under 2.5
40%
Draw & Over 2.5
3%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
10%
Away Win & Under 2.5
16%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ SPL (Nov 8, 2025): Neom SC1
Al Nassr3
Recent Form
Al Nassr
⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Al Fayha1
Al Nassr3
⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Najma0
Al Nassr5
⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Nassr4
Al Hazem0
⚽ CL2 (Feb 18, 2026): Al Nassr1
Arkadag0
⚽ SPL (Feb 14, 2026): Al Fateh0
Al Nassr2
Neom SC
⚽ SPL (Feb 28, 2026): Neom SC1
Al Kholood2
⚽ SPL (Feb 25, 2026): Al Fayha1
Neom SC1
⚽ SPL (Feb 21, 2026): Al Khaleej0
Neom SC1
⚽ SPL (Feb 12, 2026): Al Qadsiah1
Neom SC0
⚽ SPL (Feb 6, 2026): Neom SC1
Al Riyadh0
Match Analysis
Writeup
The Jorge Jesus-led Al Nassr is on a relentless title charge, sitting at the top of the table. They face Neom SC, a team that has been inconsistent, sitting 8th and coming off a disappointing loss to Al Kholood.
Form & H2H: Al Nassr has a perfect record in their last 5 games, scoring 19 goals. Neom SC is missing key goalkeeper Marcin Bułka due to a long-term injury, which is a massive blow.
Analysis: With a 3-1 victory in their last encounter, Al Nassr has the psychological edge. Given Neom’s defensive vulnerabilities and Al Nassr’s firepower (averaging nearly 3 goals a game), a home win is the only logical conclusion. Prediction: Al Nassr to win.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Neom SC?
Our selection is 1 — Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 78%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Neom SC been performing recently?
Neom SC have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Nassr lead with 1 wins versus Neom SC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.