WON

Result: Harrach 1-0 Hussein Dey

Harrach

Home Side

D W W W D

3W 2D 0L

1-0

Algeria Ligue 2

Hussein Dey

Away Side

L L D L D

0W 2D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Harrach to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026

Best Odds 1.33

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 75.2%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Harrach to win

1.33

Under 2.5 Goals80% BTTS — No70% Harrach Clean Sheet60%

Implied Prob

75.2%

Based on 1.33 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-25.2%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Harrach

Draws

Hussein Dey

Meetings

67%

BTTS Rate

Over 2.5

1.7

Avg Goals

Against Pick Harrach won 1 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Harrach

Metric

Hussein Dey

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.2

0.4

Goals Against / Game

60%

Clean Sheet %

20%

3-2-0

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate Comparison

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 18.3%

0-1 5.5%

0-2 0.8%

0-3 0.1%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 25.6%

1-1 7.7%

1-2 1.2%

1-3 0.1%

1-4 0.0%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 17.9%

2-1 5.4%

2-2 0.8%

2-3 0.1%

2-4 0.0%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 8.4%

3-1 2.5%

3-2 0.4%

3-3 0.0%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 0.9%

4-2 0.1%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.3%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (25.6%) 2-0 (17.9%) 3-0 (8.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Harrach Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Hussein Dey Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Harrach

Overall

7.2 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

8.7 —

Hussein Dey

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

0.7 —

Defence

6.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 42%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 28%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 12%

Home Win & Under 2.5 48%

Draw & Over 2.5 8%

Draw & Under 2.5 32%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

⚽ L2 (Oct 25, 2025): Hussein Dey1

Harrach1

⚽ CUP (Jan 4, 2025): Harrach1

Hussein Dey0

⚽ DIV (Apr 7, 2018): Hussein Dey1

Harrach1

Recent Form

Harrach

⚽ L2 (Feb 28, 2026): El Biar1

Harrach1

⚽ L2 (Feb 17, 2026): Harrach2

Temouchent0

⚽ L2 (Feb 13, 2026): Adrar0

Harrach4

⚽ L2 (Feb 7, 2026): Harrach2

RC Kouba1

⚽ L2 (Jan 24, 2026): Bechar Djedid0

Harrach0

Hussein Dey

⚽ L2 (Feb 28, 2026): Hussein Dey0

GC Mascara2

⚽ L2 (Feb 17, 2026): ASM Oran1

Hussein Dey0

⚽ L2 (Feb 13, 2026): Hussein Dey1

Tixeraine1

⚽ L2 (Feb 7, 2026): JSM Tiaret1

Hussein Dey0

⚽ L2 (Jan 27, 2026): Tlemcen0

Hussein Dey0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Harrach host Hussein Dey in Algeria Ligue 2. We recommend Harrach to win as the standout selection.

Harrach arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Hussein Dey are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Harrach, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Hussein Dey's 0, with 2 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: harrach to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

A classic Algerian battle where the stakes are high for the hosts. USM El Harrach is sitting comfortably in 2nd place and is desperate to close the gap on the leaders. In contrast, Hussein Dey is mid-table (9th) and has struggled for consistency, often alternating between draws and narrow losses.

Form & H2H: The H2H is perfectly split with 5 wins each and 6 draws, making this historically a tight affair. However, El Harrach’s recent home form (W-W-W) suggests a shift in momentum.

Analysis: This is a must-win for El Harrach’s promotion charge. Expect a gritty, low-scoring encounter typical of Ligue 2, where the home side’s superior discipline should edge it.

Prediction: USM El Harrach to win.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Harrach vs Hussein Dey?

Our selection is 1 — Harrach to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Harrach's current form?

Harrach have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.

How has Hussein Dey been performing recently?

Hussein Dey have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Harrach lead with 1 wins versus Hussein Dey's 0, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.

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