WON
Result:
Harrach 1-0 Hussein Dey
H
Harrach
Home Side
D
W
W
W
D
3W 2D 0L
VS
1-0
H
Hussein Dey
Away Side
L
L
D
L
D
0W 2D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Harrach to win — Saturday, 7th March 2026
Best Odds
1.33
Confidence
50%
Implied Prob
75.2%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Harrach to win
1.33
Under 2.5 Goals80%
BTTS — No70%
Harrach Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
75.2%
Based on 1.33 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-25.2%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
1
Harrach
2
Draws
0
Hussein Dey
3
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
1.7
Avg Goals
Against Pick
Harrach won 1 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Harrach
Metric
Hussein Dey
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.2
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1
60%
Clean Sheet %
20%
3-2-0
W — D — L
0-2-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0
18.3%
0-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
0-4
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
H1
1-0
25.6%
1-1
7.7%
1-2
1.2%
1-3
0.1%
1-4
0.0%
1-5
0.0%
H2
2-0
17.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
2-4
0.0%
2-5
0.0%
H3
3-0
8.4%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
3-3
0.0%
3-4
0.0%
3-5
0.0%
H4
4-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
4-3
0.0%
4-4
0.0%
4-5
0.0%
H5
5-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
5-2
0.0%
5-3
0.0%
5-4
0.0%
5-5
0.0%
Top Predicted Scores
1-0 (25.6%)
2-0 (17.9%)
3-0 (8.4%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Harrach Win
2
50%
Draw
3.33
30%
Hussein Dey Win
5
20%
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
18%
Home Win & BTTS No
42%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
28%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
12%
Home Win & Under 2.5
48%
Draw & Over 2.5
8%
Draw & Under 2.5
32%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ L2 (Oct 25, 2025): Hussein Dey1
Harrach1
⚽ CUP (Jan 4, 2025): Harrach1
Hussein Dey0
⚽ DIV (Apr 7, 2018): Hussein Dey1
Harrach1
Recent Form
Harrach
⚽ L2 (Feb 28, 2026): El Biar1
Harrach1
⚽ L2 (Feb 17, 2026): Harrach2
Temouchent0
⚽ L2 (Feb 13, 2026): Adrar0
Harrach4
⚽ L2 (Feb 7, 2026): Harrach2
RC Kouba1
⚽ L2 (Jan 24, 2026): Bechar Djedid0
Harrach0
Hussein Dey
⚽ L2 (Feb 28, 2026): Hussein Dey0
GC Mascara2
⚽ L2 (Feb 17, 2026): ASM Oran1
Hussein Dey0
⚽ L2 (Feb 13, 2026): Hussein Dey1
Tixeraine1
⚽ L2 (Feb 7, 2026): JSM Tiaret1
Hussein Dey0
⚽ L2 (Jan 27, 2026): Tlemcen0
Hussein Dey0
Match Analysis
Writeup
A classic Algerian battle where the stakes are high for the hosts. USM El Harrach is sitting comfortably in 2nd place and is desperate to close the gap on the leaders. In contrast, Hussein Dey is mid-table (9th) and has struggled for consistency, often alternating between draws and narrow losses.
Form & H2H: The H2H is perfectly split with 5 wins each and 6 draws, making this historically a tight affair. However, El Harrach’s recent home form (W-W-W) suggests a shift in momentum.
Analysis: This is a must-win for El Harrach’s promotion charge. Expect a gritty, low-scoring encounter typical of Ligue 2, where the home side’s superior discipline should edge it.
Prediction: USM El Harrach to win.
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Harrach vs Hussein Dey?
Our selection is 1 — Harrach to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Harrach's current form?
Harrach have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
How has Hussein Dey been performing recently?
Hussein Dey have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Harrach lead with 1 wins versus Hussein Dey's 0, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.