WON
Result: Singida 4-1 Mbeya City
DirectWinPredict Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Singida vs Mbeya City
S

Singida

Home Side
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L
VS
4-1
Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara
M
Mbeya City
Away Side
D L L W D
2W 3D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Singida to win — Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Best Odds 1.22
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 82%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
4
Singida
2
Draws
0
Mbeya City
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
33%
Over 2.5
3
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Singida won 4 of the last 6 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Singida
Metric
Mbeya City
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.2
30%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-1-4
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate Comparison
50%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.3%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.0%) 2-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Singida Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Mbeya City Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Singida
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
Mbeya City
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
05.02.23LKB
Singida Black Stars2
Mbeya City0
08.10.22LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
15.04.21LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Mbeya City0
02.11.20LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars1
Recent Form
Singida
22.05.26LKB
Young Africans3
Singida Black Stars0
L
16.05.26FAC
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
L
12.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Namungo0
W
09.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars4
Mtibwa Sugar0
W
05.05.26LKB
Singida Black Stars3
Pamba1
W
02.05.26LKB
Coastal Union2
Singida Black Stars1
L
16.04.26LKB
Mashujaa1
Singida Black Stars1
D
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
W
08.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Kinondoni MC0
W
05.04.26LKB
TRA United2
Singida Black Stars0
L
Mbeya City
21.05.26LKB
Namungo1
Mbeya City1
D
13.05.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Coastal Union2
L
09.05.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mbeya City0
L
04.05.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons1
Mbeya City2
W
30.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Mashujaa0
D
16.04.26LKB
Young Africans6
Mbeya City0
L
12.04.26FAC
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
L
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
03.04.26LKB
Mbeya City3
Kinondoni MC2
W
15.03.26LKB
Mbeya City1
Singida Black Stars4
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Singida vs Mbeya City?
Our selection is 1 — Singida to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Singida's current form?
Singida have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mbeya City been performing recently?
Mbeya City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Singida lead with 4 wins versus Mbeya City's 0, with 2 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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