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Result: Herd 0-2 Aalesund 2
DirectWinPredict Norway Div 3 G2 Herd vs Aalesund 2
H

Herd

Home Side
W W W L W
5W 1D 4L
VS
0-2
Norway Div 3 G2
A
Aalesund 2
Away Side
L D L L L
0W 2D 8L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Herd to win — Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Best Odds 1.30
Confidence 54%
Implied Prob 76.9%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Herd to win
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
76.9%
Based on 1.30 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-22.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Herd
1
Draws
2
Aalesund 2
6
Meetings
67%
BTTS Rate
83%
Over 2.5
3.3
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Herd won 3 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Herd
Metric
Aalesund 2
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
3.4
20%
Clean Sheet %
0%
5-1-4
W — D — L
0-2-8
Win Rate Comparison
50%
0%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
H0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 2.4%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 6.3%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
H3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
H4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 3.6%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.6%
5-2 1.9%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (8.3%) 3-1 (7.3%) 2-0 (5.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Herd Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Aalesund 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Herd
Overall
5.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.3
Aalesund 2
Overall
0.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
0.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 50%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 62%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
30.09.19D3
Herd0
Aalesund 23
08.06.19D3
Aalesund 21
Herd2
07.10.17DIV
Aalesund 21
Herd4
26.06.17DIV
Herd3
Aalesund 21
01.08.11DIV
Herd1
Aalesund 21
11.04.11DIV
Aalesund 23
Herd0
Recent Form
Herd
16.05.26DIV
Volda TI0
Herd1
W
09.05.26DIV
Orkla1
Herd3
W
01.05.26DIV
Herd3
Byasen1
W
25.04.26DIV
Strindheim4
Herd2
L
19.04.26DIV
Herd3
Rosenborg 20
W
12.04.26DIV
Spjelkavik1
Herd3
W
07.04.26DIV
Herd3
Molde 23
D
24.05.23NMC
Herd1
Brattvag2
L
18.05.22NMC
Herd0
Molde2
L
24.07.21NMC
Herd0
Hodd3
L
Aalesund 2
14.05.26DIV
Aalesund 20
Molde 26
L
09.05.26DIV
Spjelkavik2
Aalesund 22
D
03.05.26DIV
Aalesund 22
Melhus3
L
24.04.26DIV
Rosenborg 25
Aalesund 20
L
19.04.26DIV
Nardo5
Aalesund 21
L
11.04.26DIV
Aalesund 23
FK Kvik4
L
06.04.26DIV
Volda TI4
Aalesund 23
L
25.10.25DIV
Kristiansund 21
Aalesund 21
D
19.10.25DIV
Aalesund 20
Trygg/Lade1
L
15.10.25DIV
Rosenborg 23
Aalesund 21
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Norway Div 3 G2 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Herd vs Aalesund 2?
Our selection is 1 — Herd to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Herd's current form?
Herd have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Aalesund 2 been performing recently?
Aalesund 2 have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Herd lead with 3 wins versus Aalesund 2's 2, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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