WON
Result: H Beer Sheva 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
DirectWinPredict Israel Ligat Ha'al H Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
H

H Beer Sheva

Home Side
L W W D W
6W 2D 2L
VS
1-2
Israel Ligat Ha'al
M
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away Side
D L L W D
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 86%
Implied Prob 84.7%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+1.3%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
8.2%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
4
H Beer Sheva
2
Draws
4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
H Beer Sheva
Metric
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
60%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.4%) 2-1 (9.2%) 1-2 (6.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   M=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
H Beer Sheva
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
07.12.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
13.07.25SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva2
05.05.25LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva1
31.03.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
01.01.25LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
14.09.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
18.05.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
H. Beer Sheva0
Recent Form
H Beer Sheva
23.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Haifa5
L
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
W
15.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
H. Beer Sheva2
W
12.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem1
H. Beer Sheva1
D
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
W
06.05.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
H. Beer Sheva1
W
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
L
25.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem2
D
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
D
19.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
16.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Beitar Jerusalem2
L
13.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa0
W
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
D
05.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
02.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
W
25.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.18 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for H Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is H Beer Sheva's current form?
H Beer Sheva have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Maccabi Tel Aviv been performing recently?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
H Beer Sheva lead with 4 wins versus Maccabi Tel Aviv's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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