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Result: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 H. Beer Sheva
DirectWinPredict โ€บ Israel Ligat Ha'alโ€บ Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva
M

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Home Side
W W W L W
5W 1D 4L
VS
1-0
Israel Ligat Ha'al
H
H. Beer Sheva
Away Side
D W W W D
7W 3D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals โ€” Tuesday, 28th April 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 82%
Implied Prob 85.5%
โšก Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-3.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
โš” Head to Head Record
4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2
Draws
4
H. Beer Sheva
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 60% of H2H.
๐Ÿ“Š Key Stats Duel Comparison
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Metric
H. Beer Sheva
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
5-1-4
W โ€” D โ€” L
7-3-0
Win Rate Comparison
50%
70%
๐ŸŽฏ Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
M0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 5.7%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.7%
0-5 0.7%
M1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
M2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
M3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
M4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.5%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.2%
M5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (9.4%) 1-2 (8.9%) 2-1 (7.3%)
โ–  Most likely (tip) โ–  Possible (tip) โ–  Low (tip)  ยท  โ–  Contradicts tip Poisson model ยท M=Home goals โ†“   H=Away goals โ†’
๐Ÿ“ˆ Team Ratings Grades
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
5.3 โ€”
Scoring
7.3 โ€”
Defence
4.7 โ€”
H. Beer Sheva
Overall
7.9 โ–ฒ
Scoring
7.3 โ–ฒ
Defence
7.0 โ–ฒ
๐Ÿ”€ Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
๐Ÿงฎ Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
โ€”
Kelly %
โ€”
Stake Amount
โ€”
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
๐Ÿ“œ Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
07.12.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
13.07.25SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva2
05.05.25LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva1
31.03.25LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
01.01.25LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
14.09.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
18.05.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
H. Beer Sheva0
15.04.24LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
24.02.24LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
Recent Form
Maccabi Tel Aviv
25.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
15.04.26SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
W
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
L
05.04.26LH
Hapoel Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
W
21.02.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
SC Ashdod2
W
16.02.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem0
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
D
09.02.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
W
05.02.26SC
Maccabi Jaffa0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
W
02.02.26LH
Kiryat Shmona1
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
W
H. Beer Sheva
25.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem2
D
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
W
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
W
09.04.26SC
H. Beer Sheva3
Bnei Yehuda (2 - 2)2
W
04.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
22.02.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Haifa1
D
14.02.26LH
SC Ashdod1
H. Beer Sheva2
W
09.02.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem1
W
04.02.26SC
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
H. Beer Sheva3
W
31.01.26LH
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
H. Beer Sheva2
W
๐Ÿ“ Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Maccabi Tel Aviv host H. Beer Sheva in Israel Ligat Ha'al. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

H. Beer Sheva are travelling well, with a record of 7W 3D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Maccabi Tel Aviv, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to H. Beer Sheva's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 1.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.17 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

โ“ Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva?
Our selection is Over 1.5 โ€” over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 82%.
What is Maccabi Tel Aviv's current form?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has H. Beer Sheva been performing recently?
H. Beer Sheva have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Maccabi Tel Aviv lead with 4 wins versus H. Beer Sheva's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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