WON
Result: Pakhtakor 2-2 Nasaf Qarshi
DirectWinPredict Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi
P

Pakhtakor

Home Side
W W W W W
8W 0D 2L
VS
2-2
Uzbekistan Super League
N
Nasaf Qarshi
Away Side
L L D D W
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Pakhtakor to win or draw — Tuesday, 28th April 2026
Best Odds 1.16
Confidence 90%
Implied Prob 86.2%
Head to Head Record
1
Pakhtakor
5
Draws
4
Nasaf Qarshi
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
30%
Over 2.5
1.5
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Pakhtakor
Metric
Nasaf Qarshi
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.2
1
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheet %
30%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
80%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
P0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 4.7%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 11.3%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
P2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (12.5%) 1-0 (11.3%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Pakhtakor
Overall
8.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
Nasaf Qarshi
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.11.25SL
Pakhtakor1
Nasaf Qarshi0
27.06.25SL
Nasaf Qarshi2
Pakhtakor2
10.08.24SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Pakhtakor0
29.05.24SUC
Pakhtakor1
Nasaf Qarshi (1 - 1)2
08.03.24SL
Pakhtakor0
Nasaf Qarshi0
03.11.23SL
Pakhtakor1
Nasaf Qarshi1
24.08.23SUC
Pakhtakor1
Nasaf Qarshi2
15.08.23SL
Nasaf Qarshi0
Pakhtakor0
02.10.22SL
Pakhtakor0
Nasaf Qarshi1
07.05.22SL
Nasaf Qarshi0
Pakhtakor0
Recent Form
Pakhtakor
22.04.26SL
Buxoro0
Pakhtakor1
W
18.04.26SL
Pakhtakor4
Din. Samarkand2
W
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
W
09.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Pakhtakor1
W
04.04.26SL
Pakhtakor3
OKMK1
W
20.03.26SL
Sogdiana2
Pakhtakor4
W
15.03.26SUC
Neftchi Fargona1
Pakhtakor0
L
10.03.26SL
Pakhtakor0
Navbahor Namangan2
L
04.03.26SL
Kokand 19121
Pakhtakor2
W
27.02.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Qizilqum0
W
Nasaf Qarshi
23.04.26SL
Nasaf Qarshi2
Lok. Tashkent3
L
18.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona2
Nasaf Qarshi1
L
13.04.26SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Buxoro1
D
08.04.26SL
Kokand 19121
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
03.04.26SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Andijan0
W
20.03.26SL
Nasaf Qarshi0
Termez Surkhon1
L
12.03.26SL
Din. Samarkand1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
06.03.26SL
Sogdiana0
Nasaf Qarshi2
W
01.03.26SL
Nasaf Qarshi1
Xorazm Urganch0
W
16.02.26CL
Al Sharjah1
Nasaf Qarshi2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Uzbekistan Super League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.16 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Pakhtakor vs Nasaf Qarshi?
Our selection is 1X — Pakhtakor to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Pakhtakor's current form?
Pakhtakor have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nasaf Qarshi been performing recently?
Nasaf Qarshi have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Pakhtakor lead with 1 wins versus Nasaf Qarshi's 4, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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