WON

Result: Ind Medellin W 3-0 Once Caldas W

Ind Medellin W

Home Side

L W L W D

3W 4D 3L

3-0

Colombia Liga Women

Once Caldas W

Away Side

0W 3D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Ind Medellin W to win — Tuesday, 28th April 2026

Best Odds 1.25

Confidence 52%

Implied Prob 80%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Ind Medellin W to win

1.25

Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

80%

Based on 1.25 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-28%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Ind Medellin W

Draws

Once Caldas W

Meetings

BTTS Rate

33%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Ind Medellin W won 3 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Ind Medellin W

Metric

Once Caldas W

1.5

Goals For / Game

0.7

1.3

Goals Against / Game

2.2

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

3-4-3

W — D — L

0-3-7

Win Rate Comparison

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.8%

0-1 5.8%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 10.7%

1-1 10.7%

1-2 5.4%

1-3 1.8%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.9%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 5.0%

2-3 1.7%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 6.1%

3-1 6.1%

3-2 3.1%

3-3 1.0%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.8%

4-1 2.8%

4-2 1.4%

4-3 0.5%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.5%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.7%) 2-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · I=Home goals ↓ O=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Ind Medellin W Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Once Caldas W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Ind Medellin W

Overall

4.2 ▼

Scoring

5.0 ▼

Defence

5.7 ▼

Once Caldas W

Overall

0.9 —

Scoring

2.3 —

Defence

2.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Home Win & BTTS No 18%

Draw & BTTS Yes 32%

Draw & BTTS No 22%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 32%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 38%

Draw & Under 2.5 16%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

26.05.25LW

Once Caldas W0

Ind. Medellin2

18.08.19LW

Ind. Medellin W1

Once Caldas0

20.07.19LW

Once Caldas W0

Ind. Medellin6

Recent Form

Ind Medellin W

15.04.26LW

Junior W3

Ind. Medellin W2

31.03.26LW

Ind. Medellin W3

Dep. Pasto W1

25.03.26LW

Inter Bogotá W1

Ind. Medellin W0

15.03.26LW

Ind. Medellin W2

Llaneros W1

10.03.26LW

Inter Palmira W0

Ind. Medellin W0

01.03.26LW

Ind. Medellin W3

Real Santander W0

14.02.26LW

Dep. Cali W3

Ind. Medellin W1

28.08.25LW

Ind. Medellin W1

Inter Palmira W1

23.08.25LW

Orsomarso W2

Ind. Medellin W2

20.08.25LW

Dep. Cali W1

Ind. Medellin W1

Once Caldas W

15.04.26LW

Once Caldas W0

Dep. Cali W2

30.03.26LW

Inter Bogotá W2

Once Caldas W1

22.03.26LW

Once Caldas W1

America de Cali W2

17.03.26LW

Millonarios W3

Once Caldas W0

10.03.26LW

Once Caldas W1

Junior W2

28.02.26LW

Fortaleza W0

Once Caldas W0

15.02.26LW

Once Caldas W0

Santa Fe W3

21.06.25LW

Millonarios W4

Once Caldas W0

15.06.25LW

Once Caldas W2

America de Cali W2

11.06.25LW

Dep. Pasto W2

Once Caldas W2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Colombia Liga Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Ind Medellin W vs Once Caldas W?

Our selection is 1 — Ind Medellin W to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 52%.

What is Ind Medellin W's current form?

Ind Medellin W have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Once Caldas W been performing recently?

Once Caldas W have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Ind Medellin W lead with 3 wins versus Once Caldas W's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.

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