PENDING
Result: 1 — Djoliba to win
DirectWinPredict Mali Premiere Division Djoliba vs US Bougouni
D

Djoliba

Home Side
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L
VS
Mali Premiere Division
U
US Bougouni
Away Side
D L D L W
1W 3D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Djoliba to win — Tuesday, 28th April 2026
Best Odds 1.14
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 87.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Djoliba to win
1.14
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No75% Djoliba Clean Sheet80%
Implied Prob
87.7%
Based on 1.14 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-28.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Djoliba
1
Draws
2
US Bougouni
8
Meetings
25%
BTTS Rate
38%
Over 2.5
2.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Djoliba won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Djoliba
Metric
US Bougouni
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.4
0.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
80%
Clean Sheet %
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
70%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
D0
0-0 15.7%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 0.7%
0-3 0.1%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
D1
1-0 24.4%
1-1 7.3%
1-2 1.1%
1-3 0.1%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
D2
2-0 18.9%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 0.9%
2-3 0.1%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
D3
3-0 9.8%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
D4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (24.4%) 2-0 (18.9%) 3-0 (9.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   U=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Djoliba Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
US Bougouni Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Djoliba
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
9.3
US Bougouni
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.12.25PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
09.03.25PD
US Bougouni1
Djoliba0
30.01.25PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
04.02.24PD
US Bougouni2
Djoliba2
02.11.23PD
Djoliba1
US Bougouni2
27.05.23PD
US Bougouni0
Djoliba2
05.12.22PD
Djoliba2
US Bougouni0
31.05.17PD
Djoliba3
US Bougouni0
Recent Form
Djoliba
15.04.26PD
Djoliba1
Onze Createurs0
W
05.04.26PD
Djoliba0
Stade Malien0
D
29.03.26PD
Djoliba1
Korofina0
W
18.03.26PD
Bougouba1
Djoliba3
W
08.03.26PD
Derby Academie0
Djoliba2
W
04.03.26PD
Real Bamako1
Djoliba1
D
28.02.26PD
Djoliba4
Foot Elite0
W
22.02.26PD
Djoliba0
Diarra0
D
18.02.26PD
Binga0
Djoliba1
W
15.02.26CON
Djoliba4
San Pedro0
W
US Bougouni
15.04.26PD
US Bougouni0
Foot Elite0
D
04.04.26PD
Korofina2
US Bougouni1
L
17.03.26PD
US Bougouni1
Real Bamako1
D
07.03.26PD
Diarra1
US Bougouni0
L
27.02.26PD
Binga0
US Bougouni1
W
07.02.26PD
US Bougouni0
Bakaridjan2
L
31.01.26PD
USFAS Bamako3
US Bougouni0
L
24.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Mali Coura3
L
21.01.26PD
US Bougouni0
Derby Academie0
D
16.01.26PD
Onze Createurs2
US Bougouni1
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Djoliba host US Bougouni in Mali Premiere Division. We recommend Djoliba to win as the standout selection.

Djoliba arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

US Bougouni are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Djoliba, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 25% of those meetings.

Our verdict: djoliba to win at odds of 1.14 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Mali Premiere Division game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.14 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Djoliba vs US Bougouni?
Our selection is 1 — Djoliba to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Djoliba's current form?
Djoliba have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has US Bougouni been performing recently?
US Bougouni have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Djoliba lead with 5 wins versus US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 25%.
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