WON

Result: Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva

Beitar Jerusalem

Home Side

D W W W W

4W 4D 2L

3-1

Israel Ligat Ha'al

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Away Side

L L D D W

6W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Beitar Jerusalem to win — Tuesday, 28th April 2026

Best Odds 1.38

Confidence 52%

Implied Prob 72.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Beitar Jerusalem

Draws

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.9

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Beitar Jerusalem won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Beitar Jerusalem

Metric

Hapoel Petah Tikva

2.3

Goals For / Game

1.1

1.3

Goals Against / Game

0.8

30%

Clean Sheet %

50%

4-4-2

W — D — L

6-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

40%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 6.4%

0-1 7.7%

0-2 4.6%

0-3 1.8%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.9%

1-1 11.9%

1-2 7.1%

1-3 2.9%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.7%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 5.5%

2-3 2.2%

2-4 0.7%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 4.0%

3-1 4.8%

3-2 2.9%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 1.8%

4-2 1.1%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.9%) 2-1 (9.2%) 2-0 (7.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓ H=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Beitar Jerusalem Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Hapoel Petah Tikva Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Beitar Jerusalem

Overall

5.2 ▼

Scoring

7.7 ▼

Defence

5.7 ▼

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Overall

6.6 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%

Home Win & BTTS No 14%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%

Away Win & BTTS No 21%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 17%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 13%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 25%

Away Win & Under 2.5 21%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

17.01.26LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

Beitar Jerusalem3

04.10.25LH

Beitar Jerusalem5

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

21.04.24LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Beitar Jerusalem2

30.01.24LH

Beitar Jerusalem2

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

02.12.23LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

Beitar Jerusalem0

28.02.15LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Beitar Jerusalem1

04.12.14LH

Beitar Jerusalem3

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

13.08.14TOT

Beitar Jerusalem1

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

05.05.12LH

Beitar Jerusalem2

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

15.01.12LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Beitar Jerusalem1

Recent Form

Beitar Jerusalem

25.04.26LH

H. Beer Sheva2

Beitar Jerusalem2

19.04.26LH

Beitar Jerusalem3

Maccabi Haifa0

12.04.26LH

Hapoel Jerusalem0

Beitar Jerusalem2

04.04.26LH

Beitar Jerusalem3

Ironi Tiberias2

23.02.26LH

Netanya2

Beitar Jerusalem8

16.02.26LH

Beitar Jerusalem0

Maccabi Tel Aviv0

09.02.26LH

H. Beer Sheva2

Beitar Jerusalem1

04.02.26SC

Beitar Jerusalem1

Bnei Yehuda2

31.01.26LH

Beitar Jerusalem2

Hapoel Haifa2

25.01.26LH

SC Ashdod1

Beitar Jerusalem1

Hapoel Petah Tikva

25.04.26LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Hapoel Tel Aviv1

18.04.26LH

H. Beer Sheva3

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

11.04.26LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Hapoel Tel Aviv0

04.04.26LH

H. Beer Sheva1

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

26.03.26CF

SC Ashdod1

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

21.02.26LH

Maccabi Haifa0

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

14.02.26LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva0

Hapoel Haifa1

07.02.26LH

Sakhnin1

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

01.02.26LH

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

SC Ashdod0

23.01.26LH

Hapoel Jerusalem2

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel Ligat Ha’al game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Our selection is 1 — Beitar Jerusalem to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 52%.

What is Beitar Jerusalem's current form?

Beitar Jerusalem have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Hapoel Petah Tikva been performing recently?

Hapoel Petah Tikva have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Beitar Jerusalem lead with 7 wins versus Hapoel Petah Tikva's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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