WON

Result: Levski Sofia 1-0 Arda

Levski Sofia

Home Side

D W W W L

6W 1D 3L

1-0

Bulgaria EFBET League

Arda

Away Side

W W W L D

6W 2D 2L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Levski Sofia to win — Thursday, 9th April 2026

Best Odds 1.41

Confidence 56%

Implied Prob 70.9%

50%

20%

30%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Levski Sofia

Draws

Arda

Meetings

30%

BTTS Rate

50%

Over 2.5

2.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Levski Sofia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Levski Sofia

Metric

Arda

1.8

Goals For / Game

1.5

1.1

Goals Against / Game

0.9

30%

Clean Sheet %

40%

6-1-3

W — D — L

6-2-2

Win Rate Comparison

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 7.1%

0-1 9.2%

0-2 6.0%

0-3 2.6%

0-4 0.8%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 9.5%

1-1 12.4%

1-2 8.1%

1-3 3.5%

1-4 1.1%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.4%

2-1 8.4%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.4%

2-4 0.8%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 2.9%

3-1 3.8%

3-2 2.5%

3-3 1.1%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.0%

4-1 1.3%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.3%

5-1 0.3%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (9.5%) 2-1 (8.4%) 2-0 (6.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Levski Sofia Win

50%

Draw

20%

Arda Win

30%

3.33

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Levski Sofia

Overall

6.3 ▲

Scoring

6.0 ▲

Defence

6.3 ▲

Arda

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

5.0 —

Defence

7.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 22%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 6%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%

Away Win & BTTS No 23%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 24%

Home Win & Under 2.5 20%

Draw & Over 2.5 6%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 25%

Away Win & Under 2.5 20%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

02.11.25

First League: Arda Kardzhali0

Levski Sofia3

14.05.25

First League: Arda Kardzhali0

Levski Sofia3

26.04.25

First League: Levski Sofia1

Arda Kardzhali1

16.03.25

First League: Arda Kardzhali1

Levski Sofia1

29.09.24

First League: Levski Sofia2

Arda Kardzhali1

06.07.24

Friendly: Levski Sofia0

Arda Kardzhali0

24.02.24

First League: Levski Sofia4

Arda Kardzhali0

01.11.23

First League: Arda Kardzhali0

Levski Sofia0

11.06.23

First League: Levski Sofia2

Arda Kardzhali0

19.03.23

First League: Arda Kardzhali0

Levski Sofia3

Recent Form

Levski Sofia

05.04.26

First League: Dobrudzha2

Levski Sofia2

21.03.26

First League: Levski Sofia2

Cherno More1

15.03.26

First League: Beroe0

Levski Sofia1

09.03.26

First League: Levski Sofia1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0

05.03.26

First League: Ludogorets1

Levski Sofia0

01.03.26

First League: Levski Sofia4

Lokomotiv Sofia3

22.02.26

First League: CSKA 1948 Sofia1

Levski Sofia3

15.02.26

First League: Levski Sofia3

Botev Plovdiv0

11.02.26

Bulgarian Cup: Ludogorets1

Levski Sofia0

07.02.26

First League: Levski Sofia3

Botev Vratsa1

Arda

04.04.26

First League: Arda Kardzhali2

PFC Montana1

21.03.26

First League: Septemvri Sofia1

Arda Kardzhali4

16.03.26

First League: Arda Kardzhali2

Dobrudzha0

07.03.26

First League: Botev Vratsa1

Arda Kardzhali0

04.03.26

First League: Cherno More0

Arda Kardzhali0

27.02.26

First League: Arda Kardzhali1

Spartak Varna0

22.02.26

First League: Beroe0

Arda Kardzhali0

14.02.26

First League: Arda Kardzhali2

Slavia Sofia1

11.02.26

Bulgarian Cup: Botev Vratsa2

Arda Kardzhali3

06.02.26

First League: CSKA Sofia3

Arda Kardzhali1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bulgaria EFBET League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Arda?

Our selection is 1 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Levski Sofia's current form?

Levski Sofia have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Arda been performing recently?

Arda have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Levski Sofia lead with 6 wins versus Arda's 0, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.

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