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Result: Botafogo RJ 1-1 Caracas
DirectWinPredict Copa Sudamericana Botafogo RJ vs Caracas
B

Botafogo RJ

Home Side
W W L W L
4W 2D 4L
VS
1-1
Copa Sudamericana
C
Caracas
Away Side
W D W D L
2W 5D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Botafogo RJ to win — Thursday, 9th April 2026
Best Odds 1.23
Confidence 46%
Implied Prob 81.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Botafogo RJ
Metric
Caracas
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheet %
30%
4-2-4
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
20%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
B0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 11.3%
0-2 7.1%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.2%
B1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 13.0%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.4%) 2-1 (7.5%) 2-0 (6.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   C=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Botafogo RJ Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Caracas Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Botafogo RJ
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.7
Caracas
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 22%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Botafogo RJ
05.04.26
Brasileirão Série A: Vasco da Gama1
Botafogo2
W
01.04.26
Brasileirão Série A: Botafogo3
Mirassol2
W
29.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Athletico-PR4
Botafogo1
L
21.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Red Bull Bragantino1
Botafogo2
W
18.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Palmeiras2
Botafogo1
L
15.03.26
Brasileirão Série A: Botafogo0
Flamengo3
L
11.03.26
Copa Libertadores (Qual.): Botafogo0
Barcelona SC1
L
07.03.26
Campeonato Carioca (Final): Botafogo3
Bangu1
W
04.03.26
Copa Libertadores (Qual.): Barcelona SC1
Botafogo1
D
28.02.26
Campeonato Carioca (SF): Botafogo0
Boavista0
D
Caracas
04.04.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC1
Metropolitanos0
W
23.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Monagas SC1
Caracas FC1
D
18.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC4
Trujillanos2
W
14.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Portuguesa FC1
Caracas FC1
D
07.03.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC0
Deportivo Táchira1
L
04.03.26
Sudamericana: Caracas FC0
Metropolitanos (Won 5-4 on Pens)0
W
28.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Carabobo FC0
Caracas FC0
D
22.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC1
Universidad Central2
L
14.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Deportivo La Guaira2
Caracas FC0
L
07.02.26
Liga FUTVE: Caracas FC1
Puerto Cabello1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Sudamericana game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.23 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Botafogo RJ vs Caracas?
Our selection is 1 — Botafogo RJ to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Botafogo RJ's current form?
Botafogo RJ have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Caracas been performing recently?
Caracas have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game.
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