LOST
Result: Damac 1-1 Al Qadsiah
DirectWinPredict Saudi Professional League Damac vs Al Qadsiah
D

Damac

Home Side
L W W D L
3W 2D 5L
VS
1-1
Saudi Professional League
A
Al Qadsiah
Away Side
L W W D W
6W 3D 1L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Al Qadsiah to win — Thursday, 9th April 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 70.9%
H
30%
D
20%
A
50%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Qadsiah to win
1.41
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-20.9%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
1
Damac
2
Draws
2
Al Qadsiah
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
60%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick Al Qadsiah won 2 of 5 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Damac
Metric
Al Qadsiah
1
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
3-2-5
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate Comparison
30%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 5.7%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.0%
D1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.1%
D2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
D3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
D4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-2 (9.9%) 0-1 (9.5%) 0-2 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · D=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Damac Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Al Qadsiah Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Damac
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Al Qadsiah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
27.12.25
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Damac FC1
14.03.25
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC1
Al Qadsiah0
25.10.24
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Damac FC1
06.02.21
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC2
Al Qadsiah2
23.10.20
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Damac FC1
Recent Form
Damac
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi3
Damac FC0
L
12.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Najma1
Damac FC3
W
05.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC3
Al-Riyadh0
W
26.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Fateh1
Damac FC1
D
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Ahli Saudi1
L
20.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC1
Al Shabab3
L
12.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC2
Al-Taawoun1
W
06.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ettifaq2
Damac FC0
L
03.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Kholood0
D
30.01.26
Saudi Pro League: NEOM SC3
Damac FC0
L
Al Qadsiah
05.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ettifaq3
Al Qadsiah2
L
13.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah3
Al-Ahli Saudi2
W
07.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
W
28.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Al-Taawoun1
D
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah4
Al-Ettifaq0
W
20.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Okhdood2
Al Qadsiah4
W
12.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
NEOM SC0
W
07.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Al Fateh1
D
03.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Khaleej0
Al Qadsiah1
W
29.01.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Al Hilal2
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Damac host Al Qadsiah in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Qadsiah to win as the standout selection.

Damac arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Qadsiah are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Damac, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Al Qadsiah's 2, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al qadsiah to win at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Saudi Professional League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Damac vs Al Qadsiah?
Our selection is 2 — Al Qadsiah to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Damac's current form?
Damac have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Qadsiah been performing recently?
Al Qadsiah have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Damac lead with 1 wins versus Al Qadsiah's 2, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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