WON
Result: Beer Sheva 3-2 Bnei Yehuda
DirectWinPredict Israel State Cup Beer Sheva vs Bnei Yehuda
B

Beer Sheva

Home Side
D D W W W
6W 3D 1L
VS
3-2
Israel State Cup
B
Bnei Yehuda
Away Side
W D W W D
7W 3D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Beer Sheva to win — Thursday, 9th April 2026
Best Odds 1.20
Confidence 56%
Implied Prob 83.3%
H
50%
D
20%
A
30%
Head to Head Record
6
Beer Sheva
2
Draws
2
Bnei Yehuda
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.5
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Beer Sheva won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Beer Sheva
Metric
Bnei Yehuda
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheet %
50%
6-3-1
W — D — L
7-3-0
Win Rate Comparison
60%
70%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 10.4%
0-2 6.2%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
B1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.8%) 2-1 (8.1%) 2-0 (6.7%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · B=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Beer Sheva Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Bnei Yehuda Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Beer Sheva
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Bnei Yehuda
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
20.03.21
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda0
27.12.20
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda0
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
10.06.20
State Cup: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda1
15.02.20
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda0
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
30.11.19
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Bnei Yehuda2
11.05.19
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda2
Hapoel Beer Sheva3
06.04.19
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda1
06.01.19
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda3
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
24.09.18
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Bnei Yehuda0
28.04.18
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda1
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Recent Form
Beer Sheva
04.04.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
22.02.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Haifa1
D
14.02.26
Premier League: SC Ashdod1
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
W
09.02.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem1
W
04.02.26
State Cup: Maccabi Bnei Raina0
Hapoel Beer Sheva3
W
31.01.26
Premier League: Maccabi Bnei Raina0
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
W
24.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva3
Kiryat Shmona2
W
19.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
L
13.01.26
State Cup: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
W
10.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Maccabi Haifa0
D
Bnei Yehuda
03.04.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Hapoel Ra’anana0
W
31.03.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Nof HaGalil1
Bnei Yehuda1
D
27.03.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Afula0
Bnei Yehuda1
W
27.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Ironi Modiin0
W
23.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Maccabi Petah Tikva1
D
16.02.26
Liga Leumit: Maccabi Jaffa4
Bnei Yehuda4
D
09.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda2
Hapoel Akko1
W
04.02.26
State Cup: Beitar Jerusalem1
Bnei Yehuda2
W
30.01.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Hadera0
Bnei Yehuda1
W
23.01.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
MS Kafr Qasim0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Israel State Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.20 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beer Sheva vs Bnei Yehuda?
Our selection is 1 — Beer Sheva to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Beer Sheva's current form?
Beer Sheva have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bnei Yehuda been performing recently?
Bnei Yehuda have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beer Sheva lead with 6 wins versus Bnei Yehuda's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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