WON
Result: MC Alger 3-0 El Bayadh
DirectWinPredict Algeria Ligue 1 MC Alger vs El Bayadh
M

MC Alger

Home Side
L W W W W
4W 1D 5L
VS
3-0
Algeria Ligue 1
E
El Bayadh
Away Side
D L D L D
1W 6D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing MC Alger to win — Thursday, 9th April 2026
Best Odds 1.25
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 80%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — MC Alger to win
1.25
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
80%
Based on 1.25 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-30%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
MC Alger
2
Draws
1
El Bayadh
8
Meetings
0%
BTTS Rate
0%
Over 2.5
0.9
Avg Goals
Supports Pick MC Alger won 5 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
MC Alger
Metric
El Bayadh
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
1-6-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
M0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 12.1%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 15.7%
1-1 13.3%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (15.7%) 2-0 (8.6%) 2-1 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   E=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
MC Alger Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
El Bayadh Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
MC Alger
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
El Bayadh
Overall
2.8
Scoring
2.0
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 27%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 29%
Away Win & Over 2.5 4%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
04.12.25
Algeria Cup: MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
09.11.25
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger1
26.04.25
Ligue 1: MC Alger0
El Bayadh0
15.11.24
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger1
24.02.24
Ligue 1: El Bayadh0
MC Alger0
30.09.23
Ligue 1: MC Alger2
El Bayadh0
15.07.23
Ligue 1: MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
24.12.22
Ligue 1: El Bayadh1
MC Alger0
Recent Form
MC Alger
05.04.26
Ligue 1: JS Saoura2
MC Alger1
L
01.04.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger1
USM Alger0
W
25.03.26
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad0
MC Alger1
W
17.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger2
USM Khenchela1
W
13.03.26
Ligue 1: Paradou AC0
MC Alger2
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: ES Mostaganem0
MC Alger5
W
03.03.26
Algeria Cup: CR Belouizdad3
MC Alger2
L
26.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Alger0
JS Kabylie0
D
20.02.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC Alger1
L
14.02.26
Champions League: Mamelodi Sundowns2
MC Alger0
L
El Bayadh
05.04.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh1
JS Kabylie1
D
17.03.26
Ligue 1: MC Oran2
MC El Bayadh0
L
13.03.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh2
Olympique Akbou2
D
07.03.26
Ligue 1: ES Ben Aknoun1
MC El Bayadh0
L
27.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh0
USM Alger0
D
20.02.26
Ligue 1: CR Belouizdad0
MC El Bayadh0
D
13.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh0
ASO Chlef1
L
08.02.26
Ligue 1: ES Sétif0
MC El Bayadh0
D
04.02.26
Ligue 1: MC El Bayadh2
MB Rouissat0
W
24.01.26
Ligue 1: CS Constantine1
MC El Bayadh1
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, MC Alger host El Bayadh in Algeria Ligue 1. We recommend MC Alger to win as the standout selection.

MC Alger arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

El Bayadh are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 6D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour MC Alger, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to El Bayadh's 1, with 2 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: mc alger to win at odds of 1.25 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Algeria Ligue 1 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.25 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for MC Alger vs El Bayadh?
Our selection is 1 — MC Alger to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is MC Alger's current form?
MC Alger have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has El Bayadh been performing recently?
El Bayadh have recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
MC Alger lead with 5 wins versus El Bayadh's 1, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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