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Result: Ireland U21 1-1 Moldova U21

Ireland U21

Home Side

L L D W W

4W 2D 4L

1-1

Euro U21 Qualification

Moldova U21

Away Side

D L L L L

1W 2D 7L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Ireland U21 to win — Thursday, 26th March 2026

Best Odds 1.22

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 82%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Ireland U21 to win

1.22

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Implied Prob

82%

Based on 1.22 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-27%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Ireland U21

Draws

Moldova U21

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

100%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Ireland U21 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Ireland U21

Metric

Moldova U21

1.1

Goals For / Game

0.9

1.5

Goals Against / Game

1.8

20%

Clean Sheet %

10%

4-2-4

W — D — L

1-2-7

Win Rate Comparison

40%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 7.1%

0-1 8.5%

0-2 5.1%

0-3 2.0%

0-4 0.6%

0-5 0.2%

1-0 10.2%

1-1 12.3%

1-2 7.4%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.2%

2-0 7.4%

2-1 8.9%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.1%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 3.6%

3-1 4.3%

3-2 2.6%

3-3 1.0%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 1.3%

4-1 1.6%

4-2 0.9%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.4%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (10.2%) 2-1 (8.9%) 2-0 (7.4%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · I=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Ireland U21 Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Moldova U21 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Ireland U21

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

3.7 —

Defence

5.0 —

Moldova U21

Overall

1.6 ▲

Scoring

3.0 ▲

Defence

4.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%

Home Win & BTTS No 31%

Draw & BTTS Yes 13%

Draw & BTTS No 16%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%

Away Win & BTTS No 8%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 29%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 15%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 7%

Away Win & Under 2.5 7%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

04.09.25

EUR: Moldova U211

Ireland U212

Recent Form

Ireland U21

18.11.25

EUR: Andorra U214

Ireland U210

14.11.25

EUR: England U212

Ireland U210

10.10.25

EUR: Ireland U212

Slovakia U212

09.09.25

EUR: Ireland U211

Andorra U210

04.09.25

EUR: Moldova U211

Ireland U212

10.06.25

FI: Ireland U210

Qatar U230

06.06.25

FI: Croatia U211

Ireland U210

24.03.25

FI: Hungary U211

Ireland U213

21.03.25

FI: Ireland U210

Scotland U212

17.11.24

FI: Ireland U213

Sweden U212

Moldova U21

17.11.25

EUR: Kazakhstan U211

Moldova U211

13.11.25

FI: Moldova U210

Albania U211

14.10.25

EUR: Slovakia U212

Moldova U210

10.10.25

EUR: Moldova U210

England U214

09.09.25

EUR: Moldova U212

Slovakia U213

04.09.25

EUR: Moldova U211

Ireland U212

10.06.25

EUR: Moldova U213

Andorra U210

25.03.25

FI: Moldova U211

Kosovo U212

22.03.25

FI: Moldova U210

Azerbaijan U212

20.03.25

FI: Moldova U211

Northern Ireland U211

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Ireland U21 host Moldova U21 in Euro U21 Qualification. We recommend Ireland U21 to win as the standout selection.

Ireland U21 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Moldova U21 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ireland U21, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Moldova U21's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ireland u21 to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro U21 Qualification game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.22 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our selection is 1 — Ireland U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Ireland U21's current form?

Ireland U21 have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Moldova U21 been performing recently?

Moldova U21 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Ireland U21 lead with 1 wins versus Moldova U21's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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