WON
Result: Al Quwa 1-0 Al Karkh
DirectWinPredict Iraq Stars League Al Quwa vs Al Karkh
A

Al Quwa

Home Side
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L
VS
1-0
Iraq Stars League
A
Al Karkh
Away Side
D L W W W
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1X
Backing Al Quwa to win or draw — Thursday, 26th March 2026
Best Odds 1.10
Confidence 100%
Implied Prob 90.9%
Head to Head Record
7
Al Quwa
2
Draws
1
Al Karkh
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
30%
Over 2.5
2
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Al Quwa
Metric
Al Karkh
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheet %
30%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
100%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.2%) 1-1 (12.8%) 0-0 (10.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   A=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Al Quwa
Overall
10.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.3
Al Karkh
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
15.09.25
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
14.03.25
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya0
Al Karkh1
30.10.24
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
05.05.24
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Karkh0
11.11.23
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
05.07.23
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Karkh1
10.02.23
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
02.03.22
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
20.10.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Karkh0
23.06.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Al Karkh2
Recent Form
Al Quwa
17.03.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Amanat Baghdad1
W
13.03.26
SL: Diyala0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
W
06.03.26
SL: Al Gharraf1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
28.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Najaf0
W
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
13.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Newroz1
W
06.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Naft Missan1
W
01.02.26
SL: Al Mosul0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
W
28.01.26
SL: Al Kahraba0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
22.01.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al-Qassim0
W
Al Karkh
18.03.26
SL: Al Karkh1
Naft Missan1
D
14.03.26
SL: Al Karkh0
Duhok1
L
06.03.26
SL: Al Naft0
Al Karkh1
W
28.02.26
SL: Al-Qassim0
Al Karkh3
W
21.02.26
SL: Al Karkh3
Al Zawraa1
W
13.02.26
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Talaba2
L
04.02.26
SL: Diyala1
Al Karkh0
L
31.01.26
SL: Al-Karma1
Al Karkh1
D
27.01.26
SL: Al Karkh1
Erbil1
D
22.01.26
SL: Al Karkh3
Newroz0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Al Quwa host Al Karkh in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Quwa to win or draw as the standout selection.

Al Quwa arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Karkh are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Quwa, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Al Karkh's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al quwa to win or draw at odds of 1.10 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iraq Stars League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1X, and it looks even better when you see the @1.10 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Quwa vs Al Karkh?
Our selection is 1X — Al Quwa to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 100%.
What is Al Quwa's current form?
Al Quwa have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Karkh been performing recently?
Al Karkh have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Quwa lead with 7 wins versus Al Karkh's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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