WON

Result: Iceland U21 6-2 Estonia U21

Iceland U21

Home Side

W W D D L

5W 3D 2L

6-2

Euro U21 Qualification

Estonia U21

Away Side

L D D L L

2W 3D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Iceland U21 to win — Thursday, 26th March 2026

Best Odds 1.21

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 82.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Iceland U21 to win

1.21

Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

Implied Prob

82.6%

Based on 1.21 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-29.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Iceland U21

Draws

Estonia U21

Meetings

100%

BTTS Rate

67%

Over 2.5

4.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Iceland U21 won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Iceland U21

Metric

Estonia U21

1.9

Goals For / Game

1.1

Goals Against / Game

2.6

30%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-3-2

W — D — L

2-3-5

Win Rate Comparison

50%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.7%

0-1 3.9%

0-2 2.0%

0-3 0.7%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 8.3%

1-1 8.7%

1-2 4.6%

1-3 1.6%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.3%

2-1 9.8%

2-2 5.2%

2-3 1.8%

2-4 0.5%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 7.0%

3-1 7.4%

3-2 3.9%

3-3 1.4%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 3.9%

4-1 4.1%

4-2 2.2%

4-3 0.8%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.8%

5-1 1.9%

5-2 1.0%

5-3 0.3%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.8%) 2-0 (9.3%) 1-0 (8.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · I=Home goals ↓ E=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Iceland U21 Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Estonia U21 Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Iceland U21

Overall

5.9 ▲

Scoring

6.3 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

Estonia U21

Overall

2.9 ▲

Scoring

3.7 ▲

Defence

1.3 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 21%

Draw & BTTS No 9%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 6%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 30%

Home Win & Under 2.5 20%

Draw & Over 2.5 18%

Draw & Under 2.5 12%

Away Win & Over 2.5 12%

Away Win & Under 2.5 8%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

08.09.25

EUR: Estonia U211

Iceland U211

06.09.18

EUR: Iceland U215

Estonia U212

14.11.17

EUR: Estonia U212

Iceland U213

Recent Form

Iceland U21

13.11.25

EUR: Luxembourg U211

Iceland U213

14.10.25

EUR: Iceland U212

Luxembourg U211

10.10.25

EUR: Switzerland U210

Iceland U210

08.09.25

EUR: Estonia U211

Iceland U211

04.09.25

EUR: Iceland U211

Faroe Islands U212

08.06.25

FI: Iceland U211

Colombia U203

05.06.25

FI: Brazil U200

Iceland U210

25.03.25

FI: Scotland U211

Iceland U216

21.03.25

FI: Iceland U213

Hungary U210

17.11.24

FI: Poland U211

Iceland U212

Estonia U21

13.10.25

EUR: France U216

Estonia U211

10.10.25

EUR: Estonia U212

Luxembourg U212

08.09.25

EUR: Estonia U211

Iceland U211

05.09.25

EUR: Estonia U210

Switzerland U212

07.06.25

EUR: Faroe Islands U212

Estonia U211

25.03.25

FI: Malta U211

Estonia U211

15.10.24

EUR: Estonia U213

Kosovo U211

10.10.24

EUR: Estonia U211

Israel U210

10.09.24

EUR: Estonia U211

Germany U2110

07.09.24

EUR: Israel U211

Estonia U210

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Iceland U21 host Estonia U21 in Euro U21 Qualification. We recommend Iceland U21 to win as the standout selection.

Iceland U21 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Estonia U21 are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Iceland U21, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Estonia U21's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: iceland u21 to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro U21 Qualification game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?

Our selection is 1 — Iceland U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Iceland U21's current form?

Iceland U21 have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Estonia U21 been performing recently?

Estonia U21 have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Iceland U21 lead with 2 wins versus Estonia U21's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.

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