WON
Result: Alashkert 2-0 Shirak Gyumri
DirectWinPredict Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs Shirak Gyumri
A

Alashkert

Home Side
W W D D W
5W 3D 2L
VS
2-0
Armenia Premier League
S
Shirak Gyumri
Away Side
D L L L L
0W 3D 7L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Alashkert to win — Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Best Odds 1.28
Confidence 49%
Implied Prob 78.1%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Alashkert to win
1.28
Under 2.5 Goals65%
Implied Prob
78.1%
Based on 1.28 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-29.1%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Alashkert
3
Draws
4
Shirak Gyumri
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.6
Avg Goals
Against Pick Alashkert won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Alashkert
Metric
Shirak Gyumri
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.3
1
Goals Against / Game
1.7
20%
Clean Sheet %
20%
5-3-2
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate Comparison
50%
0%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 13.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (16.5%) 2-0 (13.7%) 2-1 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Alashkert Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Shirak Gyumri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Alashkert
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
Shirak Gyumri
Overall
0.9
Scoring
1.0
Defence
4.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes -0%
Away Win & BTTS No -1%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 41%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 -0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 -1%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
17.10.25PL
Shirak Gyumri1
Alashkert2
03.10.25PL
Alashkert1
Shirak Gyumri1
10.05.25PL
Shirak Gyumri4
Alashkert0
04.11.24PL
Alashkert1
Shirak Gyumri3
23.09.24PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Alashkert0
10.05.24PL
Alashkert2
Shirak Gyumri3
06.03.24PL
Shirak Gyumri2
Alashkert0
04.11.23PL
Alashkert0
Shirak Gyumri0
31.08.23PL
Shirak Gyumri2
Alashkert3
21.05.23PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Alashkert1
Recent Form
Alashkert
16.05.26PL
Van0
Alashkert1
W
09.05.26PL
Alashkert3
FC Gandzasar1
W
02.05.26PL
BKMA2
Alashkert2
D
25.04.26PL
Alashkert1
Noah1
D
19.04.26PL
Urartu1
Alashkert3
W
14.04.26PL
Alashkert2
Ararat Yerevan0
W
11.04.26PL
Ararat Yerevan2
Alashkert3
W
06.04.26PL
Ararat-Armenia1
Alashkert1
D
21.03.26PL
Alashkert0
Pyunik Yerevan1
L
15.03.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan1
Alashkert0
L
Shirak Gyumri
18.05.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Urartu0
D
08.05.26PL
Van1
Shirak Gyumri0
L
01.05.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat Yerevan2
L
26.04.26PL
FC Gandzasar3
Shirak Gyumri2
L
20.04.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia4
L
16.04.26PL
Shirak Gyumri1
BKMA1
D
12.04.26PL
BKMA0
Shirak Gyumri0
D
06.04.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Pyunik Yerevan1
L
02.04.26CUP
Shirak Gyumri0
Ararat-Armenia2
L
22.03.26PL
Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.28 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Alashkert vs Shirak Gyumri?
Our selection is 1 — Alashkert to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Alashkert's current form?
Alashkert have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shirak Gyumri been performing recently?
Shirak Gyumri have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Alashkert lead with 3 wins versus Shirak Gyumri's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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