WON

Result: Young Africans 6-0 Mbeya City

Young Africans

Home Side

W W W D D

6W 4D 0L

6-0

Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City

Away Side

L D W L L

2W 3D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Young Africans to win — Thursday, 16th April 2026

Best Odds 1.10

Confidence 52%

Implied Prob 90.9%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Young Africans to win

1.10

BTTS — No65% Young Africans Clean Sheet90%

Implied Prob

90.9%

Based on 1.10 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-38.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Young Africans

Draws

Mbeya City

Meetings

40%

BTTS Rate

10%

Over 2.5

1.6

Avg Goals

Against Pick Young Africans won 3 of the last 10 meetings (7 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Young Africans

Metric

Mbeya City

1.7

Goals For / Game

0.1

Goals Against / Game

1.9

90%

Clean Sheet %

20%

6-4-0

W — D — L

2-3-5

Win Rate Comparison

60%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 9.5%

0-1 5.3%

0-2 1.4%

0-3 0.3%

0-4 0.0%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.2%

1-1 9.4%

1-2 2.6%

1-3 0.5%

1-4 0.1%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 15.5%

2-1 8.5%

2-2 2.3%

2-3 0.4%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 9.3%

3-1 5.1%

3-2 1.4%

3-3 0.3%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 4.2%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 0.6%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.5%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (17.2%) 2-0 (15.5%) 3-0 (9.3%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Y=Home goals ↓ M=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Young Africans Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

Mbeya City Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Young Africans

Overall

7.2 —

Scoring

5.7 —

Defence

9.7 —

Mbeya City

Overall

2.9 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

3.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Home Win & BTTS No 34%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 20%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 23%

Home Win & Under 2.5 29%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 17%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 10%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

30.09.25Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City0

Young Africans0

06.06.23Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City3

Young Africans3

26.11.22Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans2

Mbeya City0

25.06.22Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City1

Young Africans1

05.02.22Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans0

Mbeya City0

13.02.21Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City1

Young Africans1

13.09.20Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans1

Mbeya City0

11.02.20Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans1

Mbeya City1

24.12.19Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City0

Young Africans0

22.05.19Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans1

Mbeya City0

Recent Form

Young Africans

11.04.26Federation Cup

Young Africans1

TMA Stars0

08.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba0

Young Africans3

04.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans3

Tanzania Prisons0

21.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar1

Young Africans1

18.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United0

Young Africans0

15.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam0

Young Africans0

12.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons0

Young Africans1

05.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Singida Black Stars0

Young Africans3

01.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans0

Simba0

25.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans5

JKT Tanzania0

Mbeya City

12.04.26Federation Cup

Singida Black Stars5

Mbeya City1

09.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City0

Azam0

03.04.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City3

Kinondoni MC2

15.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City1

Singida Black Stars4

03.03.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City0

Fountain Gate1

07.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara

TRA United0

Mbeya City2

03.02.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City1

Dodoma Jiji1

30.01.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City1

Pamba1

21.01.26Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar2

Mbeya City1

04.12.25Ligi Kuu Bara

Simba3

Mbeya City0

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.10 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Young Africans vs Mbeya City?

Our selection is 1 — Young Africans to win, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 52%.

What is Young Africans's current form?

Young Africans have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.

How has Mbeya City been performing recently?

Mbeya City have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Young Africans lead with 3 wins versus Mbeya City's 0, with 7 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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