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Result: Atletico MG 0-0 Juventude

Atletico MG

Home Side

L L W W L

5W 0D 5L

0-0

Copa Sudamericana

Juventude

Away Side

W D L L L

2W 2D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Atletico MG to win — Thursday, 16th April 2026

Best Odds 1.29

Confidence 50%

Implied Prob 77.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚔ Head to Head Record

Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Atletico MG

Metric

Juventude

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.5

40%

Clean Sheet %

10%

5-0-5

W — D — L

2-2-6

Win Rate Comparison

50%

20%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 11.7%

0-1 10.5%

0-2 4.7%

0-3 1.4%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 14.6%

1-1 13.1%

1-2 5.9%

1-3 1.8%

1-4 0.4%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.1%

2-1 8.2%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.1%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 3.8%

3-1 3.4%

3-2 1.5%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.2%

4-1 1.1%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.3%

5-1 0.3%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.6%) 2-0 (9.1%) 2-1 (8.2%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · A=Home goals ↓ J=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Atletico MG Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Juventude Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Atletico MG

Overall

5.0 ▲

Scoring

3.3 ▲

Defence

7.3 ▲

Juventude

Overall

2.6 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

5.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%

Home Win & BTTS No 35%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 7%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%

Away Win & BTTS No 13%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 25%

Home Win & Under 2.5 38%

Draw & Over 2.5 5%

Draw & Under 2.5 8%

Away Win & Over 2.5 10%

Away Win & Under 2.5 14%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form

Atletico MG

12.04.26Serie A

Santos1

Atletico-MG0

09.04.26Copa Libertadores

Puerto Cabello2

Atletico-MG1

05.04.26Serie A

Atletico-MG2

Athletico-PR1

02.04.26Serie A

Chapecoense-SC0

Atletico-MG4

21.03.26Serie A

Fluminense1

Atletico-MG0

19.03.26Serie A

Atletico-MG1

Sao Paulo0

14.03.26Serie A

Vitoria2

Atletico-MG0

11.03.26Serie A

Atletico-MG1

Internacional0

08.03.26Mineiro

Cruzeiro1

Atletico-MG0

01.03.26Mineiro

America MG0

Atletico-MG1

Juventude

12.04.26Primera División

Juventud1

Progreso0

09.04.26Copa Sudamericana

Juventud1

Cienciano1

04.04.26Primera División

Racing Montevideo2

Juventud1

30.03.26Primera División

Juventud1

Boston River2

25.03.26Primera División

CA Cerro1

Juventud0

22.03.26Primera División

Juventud0

Albion1

16.03.26Primera División

Danubio4

Juventud1

13.03.26Copa Libertadores

Ind. Medellin2

Juventud1

08.03.26Primera División

Juventud3

Nacional1

06.03.26Copa Libertadores

Juventud1

Ind. Medellin1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Copa Sudamericana game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Atletico MG vs Juventude?

Our selection is 1 — Atletico MG to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 50%.

What is Atletico MG's current form?

Atletico MG have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has Juventude been performing recently?

Juventude have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

No recent head-to-head data available.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game.

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