WON

Result: Wrexham W 4-1 Cardiff W

Wrexham W

Q: What is the recommended bet for Wrexham W vs Cardiff W?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 93%.

Home Side

W W W W W

9W 0D 1L

4-1

Wales Premier Women

Cardiff W

Away Side

W W L W W

8W 1D 1L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Over 2.5

Backing over 2.5 goals — Sunday, 29th March 2026

Best Odds 1.43

Confidence 93%

Implied Prob 69.9%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals

1.43

Over 2.5 Goals95% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes85%

Implied Prob

69.9%

Based on 1.43 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

+23.1%

Value exists

Kelly Stake %

76.7%

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Wrexham W

Draws

Cardiff W

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

4.1

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Wrexham W

Metric

Cardiff W

3.8

Goals For / Game

3.2

1.2

Goals Against / Game

1.2

10%

Clean Sheet %

20%

9-0-1

W — D — L

8-1-1

Win Rate Comparison

90%

80%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 0.9%

0-1 2.0%

0-2 2.2%

0-3 1.6%

0-4 0.9%

0-5 0.4%

1-0 2.3%

1-1 5.0%

1-2 5.5%

1-3 4.0%

1-4 2.2%

1-5 1.0%

2-0 2.8%

2-1 6.3%

2-2 6.9%

2-3 5.0%

2-4 2.8%

2-5 1.2%

3-0 2.4%

3-1 5.2%

3-2 5.7%

3-3 4.2%

3-4 2.3%

3-5 1.0%

4-0 1.5%

4-1 3.3%

4-2 3.6%

4-3 2.6%

4-4 1.4%

4-5 0.6%

5-0 0.7%

5-1 1.6%

5-2 1.8%

5-3 1.3%

5-4 0.7%

5-5 0.3%

Top Predicted Scores 2-2 (6.9%) 2-1 (6.3%) 3-2 (5.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · W=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Wrexham W

Overall

9.0 ▼

Scoring

10.0 ▼

Defence

6.0 ▼

Cardiff W

Overall

8.3 —

Scoring

10.0 —

Defence

6.0 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%

Home Win & BTTS No 8%

Draw & BTTS Yes 3%

Draw & BTTS No 0%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 39%

Away Win & BTTS No 7%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 48%

Home Win & Under 2.5 3%

Draw & Over 2.5 3%

Draw & Under 2.5 0%

Away Win & Over 2.5 44%

Away Win & Under 2.5 2%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

28.02.26

PLW: Cardiff City1

Wrexham3

04.01.26

PLW: Cardiff City2

Wrexham1

12.10.25

PLW: Wrexham1

Cardiff City1

06.04.25

PLW: Wrexham4

Cardiff City2

09.03.25

PLW: Cardiff City1

Wrexham2

01.12.24

PLW: Cardiff City4

Wrexham1

15.09.24

PLW: Wrexham0

Cardiff City2

07.04.24

PLW: Cardiff City5

Wrexham1

17.03.24

PLW: Wrexham1

Cardiff City6

21.01.24

PLW: Cardiff City3

Wrexham0

Recent Form

Wrexham W

25.03.26

PLW: Swansea City1

Wrexham7

22.03.26

PLW: TNS0

Wrexham1

15.03.26

PLW: Wrexham4

TNS1

28.02.26

PLW: Cardiff City1

Wrexham3

01.02.26

PLW: Barry Town1

Wrexham6

25.01.26

PLW: Wrexham3

Briton Ferry1

04.01.26

PLW: Cardiff City2

Wrexham1

07.12.25

PLW: Wrexham3

Aberystwyth2

30.11.25

PLW: Wrexham4

Swansea City2

16.11.25

PLW: Pontypridd1

Wrexham6

Cardiff W

22.03.26

PLW: Cardiff City2

Swansea City1

15.03.26

PLW: Swansea City1

Cardiff City2

28.02.26

PLW: Cardiff City1

Wrexham3

15.02.26

PLW: TNS1

Cardiff City5

01.02.26

PLW: Aberystwyth0

Cardiff City4

25.01.26

PLW: Cardiff City6

Pontypridd0

15.01.26

PLW: Briton Ferry1

Cardiff City4

04.01.26

PLW: Cardiff City2

Wrexham1

30.11.25

PLW: Cardiff City3

TNS3

16.11.25

PLW: Swansea City1

Cardiff City3

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Wales Premier Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.43 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Wrexham W vs Cardiff W?

Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 93%.

What is Wrexham W's current form?

Wrexham W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Cardiff W been performing recently?

Cardiff W have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Wrexham W lead with 3 wins versus Cardiff W's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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