WON

Result: Vikingur Reykjavik 4-0 Vestri

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home Side

W W W L D

4W 2D 4L

4-0

Iceland Super Cup

Vestri

Away Side

D L L L W

1W 3D 6L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win — Sunday, 29th March 2026

Best Odds 1.24

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 80.6%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win

1.24

Over 1.5 Goals95%

Implied Prob

80.6%

Based on 1.24 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-25.6%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Vikingur Reykjavik

Draws

Vestri

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

60%

Over 2.5

3.2

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Vikingur Reykjavik won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Vikingur Reykjavik

Metric

Vestri

1.6

Goals For / Game

1.3

1.5

Goals Against / Game

10%

Clean Sheet %

4-2-4

W — D — L

1-3-6

Win Rate Comparison

40%

10%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 2.5%

0-1 3.5%

0-2 2.4%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 5.7%

1-1 8.0%

1-2 5.6%

1-3 2.6%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 6.5%

2-1 9.2%

2-2 6.4%

2-3 3.0%

2-4 1.1%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 5.0%

3-1 7.0%

3-2 4.9%

3-3 2.3%

3-4 0.8%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.9%

4-1 4.0%

4-2 2.8%

4-3 1.3%

4-4 0.5%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.3%

5-1 1.9%

5-2 1.3%

5-3 0.6%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.1%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.2%) 3-1 (7.0%) 2-0 (6.5%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · V=Home goals ↓ V=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Vikingur Reykjavik Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Vestri Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Vikingur Reykjavik

Overall

4.6 ▲

Scoring

5.3 ▲

Defence

5.0 ▲

Vestri

Overall

1.9 ▼

Scoring

4.3 ▼

Defence

0.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%

Home Win & BTTS No 19%

Draw & BTTS Yes 21%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%

Away Win & BTTS No 5%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 29%

Home Win & Under 2.5 24%

Draw & Over 2.5 18%

Draw & Under 2.5 15%

Away Win & Over 2.5 8%

Away Win & Under 2.5 6%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

26.08.25

BK: Vikingur Reykjavik4

Vestri1

29.05.25

BK: Vestri0

Vikingur Reykjavik1

11.08.24

BK: Vikingur Reykjavik1

Vestri1

20.05.24

BK: Vestri1

Vikingur Reykjavik4

02.10.21

CUP: Vestri0

Vikingur Reykjavik3

Recent Form

Vikingur Reykjavik

04.03.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2

IR Reykjavik0

25.02.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik3

Throttur1

19.02.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1

KR Reykjavik0

15.02.26

CUP: KA Akureyri2

Vikingur Reykjavik0

07.02.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1

Njardvik1

31.01.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2

Grindavik0

24.01.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik1

Fram1

19.01.26

CUP: Fjolnir3

Vikingur Reykjavik4

14.01.26

CUP: Vikingur Reykjavik2

IR Reykjavik0

11.12.25

CUP: Leiknir2

Vikingur Reykjavik5

Vestri

17.03.26

CUP: Stjarnan2

Vestri2

28.02.26

CUP: Fram5

Vestri2

18.02.26

CUP: HK Kópavogur3

Vestri2

14.02.26

CUP: Vestri2

Keflavík3

07.02.26

CUP: Ægir1

Vestri2

25.10.25

BK: Vestri1

KR Reykjavik5

19.10.25

BK: Afturelding1

Vestri1

05.10.25

BK: KA Akureyri1

Vestri1

28.09.25

BK: Vestri0

Vestmannaeyjar5

20.09.25

BK: Vestri0

Akranes4

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Iceland Super Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.24 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?

Vikingur Reykjavik have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.

How has Vestri been performing recently?

Vestri have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 4 wins versus Vestri's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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