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Result: Swansea W 0-1 TNS W

Swansea W

Home Side

L L L W W

5W 0D 5L

0-1

Wales Premier Women

TNS W

Away Side

L L L L W

3W 2D 5L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Swansea W to win — Sunday, 29th March 2026

Best Odds 1.30

Confidence 57%

Implied Prob 76.9%

60%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Swansea W to win

1.30

Over 2.5 Goals65%

Implied Prob

76.9%

Based on 1.30 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-19.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Swansea W

Draws

TNS W

Meetings

60%

BTTS Rate

90%

Over 2.5

3.9

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Swansea W won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Swansea W

Metric

TNS W

2.9

Goals For / Game

0.4

2.3

Goals Against / Game

10%

Clean Sheet %

5-0-5

W — D — L

3-2-5

Win Rate Comparison

50%

30%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.7%

0-1 5.0%

0-2 3.4%

0-3 1.5%

0-4 0.5%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 7.2%

1-1 9.7%

1-2 6.6%

1-3 3.0%

1-4 1.0%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.0%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.4%

2-3 2.9%

2-4 1.0%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 4.6%

3-1 6.2%

3-2 4.2%

3-3 1.9%

3-4 0.6%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.2%

4-1 3.0%

4-2 2.0%

4-3 0.9%

4-4 0.3%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 0.9%

5-1 1.2%

5-2 0.8%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-0 (7.2%) 2-0 (7.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ T=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Swansea W Win

60%

1.67

Draw

20%

TNS W Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Swansea W

Overall

5.0 ▲

Scoring

9.7 ▲

Defence

2.3 ▲

TNS W

Overall

3.6 ▲

Scoring

1.3 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%

Home Win & BTTS No 25%

Draw & BTTS Yes 6%

Draw & BTTS No 5%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Away Win & BTTS No 15%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 36%

Home Win & Under 2.5 20%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 4%

Away Win & Over 2.5 21%

Away Win & Under 2.5 12%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

01.03.26

PLW: TNS2

Swansea City5

14.01.26

PLW: Swansea City3

TNS0

12.10.25

PLW: Swansea City2

TNS1

09.02.25

CUP: Swansea City1

TNS3

15.12.24

PLW: TNS1

Swansea City0

13.10.24

PLW: Swansea City0

TNS5

28.01.24

PLW: TNS0

Swansea City5

22.10.23

PLW: TNS1

Swansea City2

02.04.23

PLW: TNS2

Swansea City1

19.03.23

PLW: Swansea City4

TNS1

Recent Form

Swansea W

25.03.26

PLW: Swansea City1

Wrexham7

22.03.26

PLW: Cardiff City2

Swansea City1

15.03.26

PLW: Swansea City1

Cardiff City2

01.03.26

PLW: TNS2

Swansea City5

11.02.26

PLW: Briton Ferry1

Swansea City3

25.01.26

PLW: Swansea City7

Barry Town1

14.01.26

PLW: Swansea City3

TNS0

07.12.25

PLW: Pontypridd1

Swansea City5

30.11.25

PLW: Wrexham4

Swansea City2

16.11.25

PLW: Swansea City1

Cardiff City3

TNS W

22.03.26

PLW: TNS0

Wrexham1

15.03.26

PLW: Wrexham4

TNS1

01.03.26

PLW: TNS2

Swansea City5

15.02.26

PLW: TNS1

Cardiff City5

01.02.26

PLW: Pontypridd0

The New Saints8

25.01.26

PLW: The New Saints2

Aberystwyth0

14.01.26

PLW: Swansea City3

TNS0

07.12.25

PLW: TNS1

Barry Town1

30.11.25

PLW: Cardiff City3

TNS3

16.11.25

PLW: The New Saints3

Briton Ferry2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Wales Premier Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.30 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Swansea W vs TNS W?

Our selection is 1 — Swansea W to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 57%.

What is Swansea W's current form?

Swansea W have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.

How has TNS W been performing recently?

TNS W have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Swansea W lead with 6 wins versus TNS W's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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