WON
Result: Freiburg W 1-2 Hoffenheim W
DirectWinPredict Bundesliga Women Freiburg W vs Hoffenheim W
F

Freiburg W

Home Side
L W L D L
4W 1D 5L
VS
1-2
Bundesliga Women
H
Hoffenheim W
Away Side
L L W W L
6W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Sunday, 29th March 2026
Best Odds 1.54
Confidence 85%
Implied Prob 64.9%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.54
Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — No80% Hoffenheim W Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
64.9%
Based on 1.54 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+20.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
57.2%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
Freiburg W
0
Draws
7
Hoffenheim W
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Freiburg W
Metric
Hoffenheim W
1.2
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheet %
60%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
F0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 11.0%
0-2 9.9%
0-3 5.9%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.0%
F1
1-0 6.1%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.0%
F2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.5%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.5%
F3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (11.0%) 1-1 (11.0%) 0-2 (9.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   H=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Freiburg W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Hoffenheim W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 33%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
06.11.25
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg1
02.02.25
BUN: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim3
16.09.24
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
18.08.24
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim3
22.03.24
BUN: Freiburg2
Hoffenheim4
04.11.23
BUN: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
02.09.23
CF: Hoffenheim2
Freiburg3
19.03.23
BUN: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim1
14.10.22
BUN: Hoffenheim3
Freiburg2
Recent Form
Freiburg W
22.03.26
BUN: RB Leipzig2
Freiburg0
L
13.03.26
BUN: Freiburg2
FC Nürnberg1
W
23.02.26
BUN: Eintracht Frankfurt3
Freiburg0
L
14.02.26
BUN: Freiburg1
Union Berlin1
D
06.02.26
BUN: Freiburg1
Bayern Munich4
L
01.02.26
BUN: Hamburger SV0
Freiburg2
W
24.01.26
BUN: FC Köln1
Freiburg0
L
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
L
11.01.26
CF: Freiburg3
VfB Stuttgart0
W
21.12.25
BUN: Freiburg3
Werder Bremen0
W
Hoffenheim W
21.03.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Wolfsburg1
L
18.03.26
BUN: Eintracht Frankfurt2
Hoffenheim0
L
15.03.26
BUN: Hoffenheim4
SGS Essen0
W
22.02.26
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen0
Hoffenheim1
W
15.02.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Hamburger SV4
L
08.02.26
BUN: FC Nürnberg0
Hoffenheim3
W
01.02.26
BUN: Hoffenheim0
Werder Bremen0
D
18.01.26
CF: Freiburg0
Hoffenheim4
W
14.01.26
CF: Hoffenheim4
PSV1
W
11.01.26
CF: Hoffenheim4
Basel0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Freiburg W host Hoffenheim W in Bundesliga Women. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Freiburg W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hoffenheim W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Freiburg W, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Hoffenheim W's 7, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.54 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Bundesliga Women game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.54 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Freiburg W vs Hoffenheim W?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.54. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Freiburg W's current form?
Freiburg W have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hoffenheim W been performing recently?
Hoffenheim W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Freiburg W lead with 3 wins versus Hoffenheim W's 7, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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