WON
Result: Waterhouse 4-0 Dunbeholden
DirectWinPredict Jamaica Premier League Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden
W

Waterhouse

Home Side
W L L W W
6W 1D 3L
VS
4-0
Jamaica Premier League
D
Dunbeholden
Away Side
L L W L D
5W 1D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Waterhouse to win — Wednesday, 6th May 2026
Best Odds 1.28
Confidence 50%
Implied Prob 78.1%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
4
Waterhouse
4
Draws
2
Dunbeholden
10
Meetings
40%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
1.9
Avg Goals
Against Pick Waterhouse won 4 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Waterhouse
Metric
Dunbeholden
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheet %
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
60%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
W0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
W2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
W3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
W4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.5%) 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · W=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Waterhouse Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Dunbeholden Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Waterhouse
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Dunbeholden
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.02.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse2
19.10.25PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
04.05.25PL
Waterhouse2
Dunbeholden0
16.02.25PL
Dunbeholden1
Waterhouse0
08.12.24PL
Waterhouse3
Dunbeholden2
24.03.24PL
Waterhouse1
Dunbeholden0
27.12.23PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse1
28.03.23PL
Waterhouse0
Dunbeholden0
28.12.22PL
Dunbeholden0
Waterhouse0
17.04.22PL
Dunbeholden2
Waterhouse2
Recent Form
Waterhouse
03.05.26PL
Waterhouse3
Chapelton0
W
28.04.26PL
Mount Pleasant2
Waterhouse1
L
24.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Treasure Beach2
L
19.04.26PL
Harbour View0
Waterhouse1
W
16.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Tivoli0
W
12.04.26PL
Racing United0
Waterhouse1
W
06.04.26PL
Waterhouse1
Arnett Gardens1
D
31.03.26PL
Waterhouse5
Spanish Town Police1
W
26.03.26PL
Portmore2
Waterhouse1
L
23.03.26PL
Waterhouse2
Cavalier1
W
Dunbeholden
03.05.26PL
Dunbeholden0
Mount Pleasant5
L
26.04.26PL
Treasure Beach1
Dunbeholden0
L
23.04.26PL
Dunbeholden4
Harbour View0
W
19.04.26PL
Tivoli2
Dunbeholden0
L
15.04.26PL
Racing United0
Dunbeholden0
D
12.04.26PL
Arnett Gardens1
Dunbeholden2
W
05.04.26PL
Spanish Town Police4
Dunbeholden1
L
29.03.26PL
Dunbeholden2
Portmore1
W
26.03.26PL
Cavalier0
Dunbeholden2
W
22.03.26PL
Dunbeholden1
Molynes0
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Waterhouse host Dunbeholden in Jamaica Premier League. We recommend Waterhouse to win as the standout selection.

Waterhouse arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dunbeholden are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Waterhouse, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: waterhouse to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Jamaica Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.28 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden?
Our selection is 1 — Waterhouse to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Waterhouse's current form?
Waterhouse have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dunbeholden been performing recently?
Dunbeholden have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Waterhouse lead with 4 wins versus Dunbeholden's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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