WON

Result: FC Gandzasar 1-4 Noah

FC Gandzasar

Home Side

L W D L L

3W 4D 3L

1-4

Armenia Premier League

Noah

Away Side

D D D W W

6W 4D 0L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Noah to win — Wednesday, 6th May 2026

Best Odds 1.32

Confidence 66%

Implied Prob 75.8%

20%

30%

50%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Noah to win

1.32

BTTS — No65% Noah Clean Sheet80%

Implied Prob

75.8%

Based on 1.32 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-9.8%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

FC Gandzasar

Draws

Noah

Meetings

14%

BTTS Rate

86%

Over 2.5

3.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Noah won 7 of 7 meetings.

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

FC Gandzasar

Metric

Noah

1.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.4

Goals Against / Game

0.3

30%

Clean Sheet %

80%

3-4-3

W — D — L

6-4-0

Win Rate Comparison

30%

60%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 10.5%

0-1 15.8%

0-2 11.9%

0-3 5.9%

0-4 2.2%

0-5 0.7%

1-0 7.9%

1-1 11.9%

1-2 8.9%

1-3 4.5%

1-4 1.7%

1-5 0.5%

2-0 3.0%

2-1 4.5%

2-2 3.3%

2-3 1.7%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.2%

3-0 0.7%

3-1 1.1%

3-2 0.8%

3-3 0.4%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.1%

4-1 0.2%

4-2 0.2%

4-3 0.1%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (15.8%) 0-2 (11.9%) 1-2 (8.9%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓ N=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

FC Gandzasar Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Noah Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

FC Gandzasar

Overall

4.2 ▲

Scoring

4.0 ▲

Defence

5.3 ▲

Noah

Overall

7.2 ▲

Scoring

5.3 ▲

Defence

9.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%

Home Win & BTTS No 15%

Draw & BTTS Yes 11%

Draw & BTTS No 20%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%

Away Win & BTTS No 30%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 9%

Home Win & Under 2.5 14%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 19%

Away Win & Over 2.5 18%

Away Win & Under 2.5 28%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

10.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

17.08.25PL

Noah4

FC Gandzasar1

20.04.25PL

Noah1

FC Gandzasar0

02.04.25CUP

Noah4

FC Gandzasar0

10.03.25PL

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

06.03.25CUP

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

08.12.24PL

Noah7

FC Gandzasar0

Recent Form

FC Gandzasar

02.05.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Van1

26.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar3

Shirak Gyumri2

19.04.26PL

BKMA1

FC Gandzasar1

10.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

05.04.26PL

Urartu4

FC Gandzasar2

21.03.26PL

FC Gandzasar2

Ararat Yerevan1

14.03.26PL

Ararat Yerevan0

FC Gandzasar2

06.03.26PL

FC Gandzasar2

Urartu2

25.02.26CF

Sardarapat0

FC Gandzasar0

14.02.26CF

Van0

FC Gandzasar0

Noah

03.05.26PL

Noah0

Pyunik Yerevan0

29.04.26CUP

Noah0

Ararat-Armenia0

25.04.26PL

Alashkert1

Noah1

20.04.26PL

Noah2

Van0

16.04.26CUP

Ararat-Armenia0

Noah1

10.04.26PL

FC Gandzasar0

Noah3

05.04.26PL

Noah2

BKMA0

01.04.26CUP

Noah2

Pyunik Yerevan2

22.03.26PL

Noah3

Shirak Gyumri0

16.03.26PL

Shirak Gyumri0

Noah2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, FC Gandzasar host Noah in Armenia Premier League. We recommend Noah to win as the standout selection.

FC Gandzasar arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Noah are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 4D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FC Gandzasar, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Noah's 7, with 0 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 14% of those meetings.

Our verdict: noah to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Armenia Premier League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for FC Gandzasar vs Noah?

Our selection is 2 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is FC Gandzasar's current form?

FC Gandzasar have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.

How has Noah been performing recently?

Noah have recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

FC Gandzasar lead with 0 wins versus Noah's 7, with 0 draws across 7 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.

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