WON
Result: Triglav 2-0 Jadran Dekani
DirectWinPredict Slovenia 2 SNL Triglav vs Jadran Dekani
T

Triglav

Home Side
W W W W W
8W 2D 0L
VS
2-0
Slovenia 2 SNL
J
Jadran Dekani
Away Side
D L D L W
8W 2D 0L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Triglav to win — Wednesday, 6th May 2026
Best Odds 1.31
Confidence 59%
Implied Prob 76.3%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Triglav to win
1.31
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No85% Triglav Clean Sheet70%
Implied Prob
76.3%
Based on 1.31 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
5
Triglav
3
Draws
2
Jadran Dekani
10
Meetings
60%
BTTS Rate
50%
Over 2.5
2.8
Avg Goals
Neutral Data Triglav won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Triglav
Metric
Jadran Dekani
2.1
Goals For / Game
0
0.3
Goals Against / Game
0
70%
Clean Sheet %
0%
8-2-0
W — D — L
8-2-0
Win Rate Comparison
80%
80%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
T0
0-0 28.7%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 0.6%
0-3 0.0%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
T1
1-0 30.1%
1-1 6.0%
1-2 0.6%
1-3 0.0%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
T2
2-0 15.8%
2-1 3.2%
2-2 0.3%
2-3 0.0%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
T3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.1%
3-3 0.0%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (30.1%) 2-0 (15.8%) 3-0 (5.5%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · T=Home goals ↓   J=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Triglav Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Jadran Dekani Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Triglav
Overall
8.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
9.0
Jadran Dekani
Overall
8.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 38%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 34%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
25.10.252L
Jadran Dekani3
Triglav4
12.05.252L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav6
03.11.242L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani0
18.05.242L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani2
28.10.232L
Jadran Dekani3
Triglav1
13.05.232L
Triglav0
Jadran Dekani0
29.10.222L
Jadran Dekani0
Triglav0
12.03.222L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav1
27.08.212L
Triglav1
Jadran Dekani0
16.09.202L
Jadran Dekani1
Triglav2
Recent Form
Triglav
30.04.262L
NK Jesenice0
Triglav3
W
24.04.262L
Triglav4
Krsko Posavje0
W
18.04.262L
ND Gorica0
Triglav1
W
11.04.262L
Triglav2
Dravinja1
W
03.04.262L
NK Krka0
Triglav2
W
27.03.262L
Triglav2
Rudar0
W
20.03.262L
Slovan Ljubljana1
Triglav2
W
14.03.262L
Triglav1
Ilirija1
D
08.03.262L
Triglav4
Grosuplje0
W
01.03.262L
Beltinci0
Triglav0
D
Jadran Dekani
30.04.262L
NK Jesenice0
Triglav3
W
24.04.262L
Triglav4
Krsko Posavje0
W
18.04.262L
ND Gorica0
Triglav1
W
11.04.262L
Triglav2
Dravinja1
W
03.04.262L
NK Krka0
Triglav2
W
27.03.262L
Triglav2
Rudar0
W
20.03.262L
Slovan Ljubljana1
Triglav2
W
14.03.262L
Triglav1
Ilirija1
D
08.03.262L
Triglav4
Grosuplje0
W
01.03.262L
Beltinci0
Triglav0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Triglav host Jadran Dekani in Slovenia 2 SNL. We recommend Triglav to win as the standout selection.

Triglav arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Jadran Dekani are travelling well, with a record of 8W 2D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Triglav, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Jadran Dekani's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: triglav to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Slovenia 2 SNL game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Triglav vs Jadran Dekani?
Our selection is 1 — Triglav to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Triglav's current form?
Triglav have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jadran Dekani been performing recently?
Jadran Dekani have recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Triglav lead with 5 wins versus Jadran Dekani's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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