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Result: St Johnstone 1-1 Queens Park

St Johnstone

Home Side

D W W W D

4W 5D 1L

1-1

Scottish Championship

Queens Park

Away Side

L D W W L

4W 2D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing St Johnstone to win — Saturday, 28th March 2026

Best Odds 1.29

Confidence 55%

Implied Prob 77.5%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — St Johnstone to win

1.29

Under 2.5 Goals70%

Implied Prob

77.5%

Based on 1.29 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-22.5%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

St Johnstone

Draws

Queens Park

Meetings

80%

BTTS Rate

80%

Over 2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick St Johnstone won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

St Johnstone

Metric

Queens Park

1.3

Goals For / Game

0.9

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.6

50%

Clean Sheet %

20%

4-5-1

W — D — L

4-2-4

Win Rate Comparison

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 10.0%

0-1 8.5%

0-2 3.6%

0-3 1.0%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.5%

1-1 12.4%

1-2 5.3%

1-3 1.5%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 10.5%

2-1 9.0%

2-2 3.8%

2-3 1.1%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 5.1%

3-1 4.3%

3-2 1.8%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 1.9%

4-1 1.6%

4-2 0.7%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.5%

5-1 0.5%

5-2 0.2%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.5%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓ Q=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

St Johnstone Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Queens Park Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

St Johnstone

Overall

5.5 ▼

Scoring

4.3 ▼

Defence

7.3 ▼

Queens Park

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

3.0 —

Defence

4.7 —

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Home Win & BTTS No 21%

Draw & BTTS Yes 12%

Draw & BTTS No 18%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%

Away Win & BTTS No 21%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 11%

Home Win & Under 2.5 25%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 21%

Away Win & Over 2.5 11%

Away Win & Under 2.5 25%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

24.02.26

CHA: Queen’s Park1

St Johnstone1

15.11.25

CHA: St Johnstone4

Queen’s Park3

27.09.25

CHA: Queen’s Park1

St Johnstone2

25.09.12

CUP: St Johnstone4

Queen’s Park1

29.08.06

CUP: St Johnstone3

Queen’s Park0

Recent Form

St Johnstone

20.03.26

CHA: Partick Thistle0

St Johnstone0

14.03.26

CHA: St Johnstone1

Ross County0

07.03.26

CHA: Greenock Morton0

St Johnstone2

28.02.26

CHA: St Johnstone3

Ayr United1

24.02.26

CHA: Queen’s Park1

St Johnstone1

20.02.26

CHA: Raith Rovers0

St Johnstone0

17.02.26

CUP: St Johnstone3

Ayr United (3-4 pens)3

13.02.26

CHA: Airdrieonians0

St Johnstone1

30.01.26

CHA: St Johnstone2

Partick Thistle2

24.01.26

CHA: St Johnstone0

Dunfermline1

Queens Park

21.03.26

CHA: Arbroath1

Queen’s Park0

14.03.26

CHA: Queen’s Park1

Ayr United1

10.03.26

CHA: Ayr United1

Queen’s Park2

07.03.26

CHA: Queen’s Park1

Airdrieonians0

28.02.26

CHA: Dunfermline1

Queen’s Park0

24.02.26

CHA: Queen’s Park1

St Johnstone1

21.02.26

CHA: Queen’s Park3

Greenock Morton2

14.02.26

CHA: Ross County0

Queen’s Park1

08.02.26

CUP: Rangers8

Queen’s Park0

03.02.26

CHA: Queen’s Park0

Ross County1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, St Johnstone host Queens Park in Scottish Championship. We recommend St Johnstone to win as the standout selection.

St Johnstone arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Queens Park are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Johnstone, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Queens Park's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: st johnstone to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Scottish Championship game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.29 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for St Johnstone vs Queens Park?

Our selection is 1 — St Johnstone to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 55%.

What is St Johnstone's current form?

St Johnstone have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.

How has Queens Park been performing recently?

Queens Park have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

St Johnstone lead with 4 wins versus Queens Park's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.

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