WON
Result: Germany U19 1-3 Israel U19
DirectWinPredict Euro U19 Qualification Germany U19 vs Israel U19
G

Germany U19

Home Side
D W W W L
6W 1D 2L
VS
1-3
Euro U19 Qualification
I
Israel U19
Away Side
L D W L D
1W 3D 6L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Saturday, 28th March 2026
Best Odds 1.41
Confidence 93%
Implied Prob 70.9%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals84% Over 1.5 Goals89% BTTS — Yes68%
Implied Prob
70.9%
Based on 1.41 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+22.1%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
75.9%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Germany U19
Metric
Israel U19
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.4
1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
33%
Clean Sheet %
20%
6-1-2
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate Comparison
67%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
G0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
G3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 7.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 1-1 (8.1%) 2-0 (7.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · G=Home goals ↓   I=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Germany U19
Overall
7.0
Scoring
9.6
Defence
6.7
Israel U19
Overall
1.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 46%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 57%
Home Win & Under 2.5 11%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Germany U19
25.03.26
EUR: Germany U192
Sweden U192
D
18.11.25
FI: Wales U190
Germany U193
W
15.11.25
FI: Germany U193
Japan U192
W
12.11.25
FI: USA U192
Germany U191
L
14.10.25
EUR: Germany U192
Norway U191
W
11.10.25
EUR: Germany U195
Kosovo U190
W
08.10.25
EUR: Armenia U190
Germany U197
W
09.09.25
FI: Croatia U191
Germany U190
L
06.09.25
FI: Germany U193
Italy U191
W
Israel U19
25.03.26
EUR: Israel U191
Austria U192
L
19.02.26
FI: Cyprus U191
Israel U191
D
17.02.26
FI: Cyprus U190
Israel U193
W
14.10.25
EUR: Austria U193
Israel U191
L
11.10.25
EUR: Israel U192
Slovenia U192
D
08.10.25
EUR: Israel U190
Luxembourg U190
D
07.09.25
FI: Estonia U192
Israel U191
L
25.03.25
EUR: Belgium U193
Israel U192
L
22.03.25
EUR: Norway U192
Israel U191
L
19.03.25
EUR: Israel U192
Serbia U193
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, Germany U19 host Israel U19 in Euro U19 Qualification. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Germany U19 arrive in strong form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Israel U19 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.41 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Euro U19 Qualification game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is Over 2.5, and it looks even better when you see the @1.41 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Germany U19 vs Israel U19?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 93%.
What is Germany U19's current form?
Germany U19 have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Israel U19 been performing recently?
Israel U19 have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game.
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