WON

Result: Larne 2-0 Cliftonville

Larne

Home Side

W W W W D

3W 2D 1L

2-0

NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville

Away Side

D L L W W

5W 1D 4L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing Larne to win — Saturday, 28th March 2026

Best Odds 1.39

Confidence 53%

Implied Prob 71.9%

50%

20%

30%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Larne to win

1.39

BTTS — No68%

Implied Prob

71.9%

Based on 1.39 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-18.9%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

Larne

Draws

Cliftonville

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.7

Avg Goals

Supports Pick Larne won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

Larne

Metric

Cliftonville

2.2

Goals For / Game

1.7

0.5

Goals Against / Game

1.5

50%

Clean Sheet %

40%

3-2-1

W — D — L

5-1-4

Win Rate Comparison

50%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 5.2%

0-1 5.8%

0-2 3.2%

0-3 1.2%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 9.7%

1-1 10.7%

1-2 5.9%

1-3 2.2%

1-4 0.6%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.0%

2-1 9.9%

2-2 5.4%

2-3 2.0%

2-4 0.6%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.5%

3-1 6.1%

3-2 3.3%

3-3 1.2%

3-4 0.3%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.6%

4-1 2.8%

4-2 1.6%

4-3 0.6%

4-4 0.2%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 1.0%

5-1 1.0%

5-2 0.6%

5-3 0.2%

5-4 0.1%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.9%) 1-0 (9.7%) 2-0 (9.0%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · L=Home goals ↓ C=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

Larne Win

50%

Draw

20%

Cliftonville Win

30%

3.33

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

Larne

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

7.2 —

Defence

8.3 —

Cliftonville

Overall

5.3 ▲

Scoring

5.7 ▲

Defence

5.0 ▲

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Home Win & BTTS No 29%

Draw & BTTS Yes 5%

Draw & BTTS No 11%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 29%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 18%

Home Win & Under 2.5 24%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 18%

Away Win & Under 2.5 24%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

30.12.25

NIFL: Larne0

Cliftonville0

18.10.25

NIFL: Cliftonville0

Larne2

19.08.25

NIFL: Cliftonville1

Larne1

14.01.25

CUP: Larne0

Cliftonville1

10.01.25

NIFL: Larne2

Cliftonville0

01.12.24

NIFL: Larne1

Cliftonville1

27.09.24

NIFL: Cliftonville1

Larne3

05.07.24

CHA: Larne2

Cliftonville1

13.04.24

NIFL: Larne8

Cliftonville1

02.04.24

NIFL: Cliftonville0

Larne2

Recent Form

Larne

30.12.25

NIFL: Larne0

Cliftonville0

18.10.25

NIFL: Cliftonville0

Larne2

19.08.25

NIFL: Cliftonville1

Larne1

14.01.25

CUP: Larne0

Cliftonville1

10.01.25

NIFL: Larne2

Cliftonville0

13.04.24

NIFL: Larne8

Cliftonville1

Cliftonville

21.03.26

NIFL: Cliftonville2

Ballymena2

18.03.26

NIFL: Glentoran3

Cliftonville0

14.03.26

NIFL: Coleraine1

Cliftonville0

10.03.26

NIFL: Crusaders0

Cliftonville1

07.03.26

CUP: Loughgall0

Cliftonville3

04.03.26

NIFL: Portadown0

Cliftonville2

01.03.26

NIFL: Cliftonville2

Linfield0

24.02.26

NIFL: Cliftonville0

Glentoran4

21.02.26

NIFL: Cliftonville5

Crusaders2

13.02.26

NIFL: Dungannon Swifts3

Cliftonville2

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this NIFL Premiership game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Larne vs Cliftonville?

Our selection is 1 — Larne to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 53%.

What is Larne's current form?

Larne have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches.

How has Cliftonville been performing recently?

Cliftonville have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Larne lead with 6 wins versus Cliftonville's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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