WON

Result: York City 1-0 Woking

York City

Home Side

L W W W L

8W 0D 2L

1-0

National League

Woking

Away Side

D W W W D

4W 3D 3L

DirectWinPredict Verdict

Backing York City to win — Saturday, 28th March 2026

Best Odds 1.31

Confidence 64%

Implied Prob 76.3%

50%

30%

20%

⚡ Supporting Bets Extras

Primary Selection

1 — York City to win

1.31

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%

Implied Prob

76.3%

Based on 1.31 odds

Edge vs Bookmaker

-12.3%

Overpriced

Kelly Stake %

Suggested % of bankroll

⚔ Head to Head Record

York City

Draws

Woking

Meetings

50%

BTTS Rate

30%

Over 2.5

2.5

Avg Goals

Supports Pick York City won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).

📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison

York City

Metric

Woking

2.7

Goals For / Game

1.7

Goals Against / Game

1.5

50%

Clean Sheet %

10%

8-0-2

W — D — L

4-3-3

Win Rate Comparison

80%

40%

🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model

0-0 3.2%

0-1 4.3%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.4%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 6.7%

1-1 9.0%

1-2 6.1%

1-3 2.7%

1-4 0.9%

1-5 0.3%

2-0 7.0%

2-1 9.5%

2-2 6.4%

2-3 2.9%

2-4 1.0%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 4.9%

3-1 6.6%

3-2 4.5%

3-3 2.0%

3-4 0.7%

3-5 0.2%

4-0 2.6%

4-1 3.5%

4-2 2.3%

4-3 1.1%

4-4 0.4%

4-5 0.1%

5-0 1.1%

5-1 1.5%

5-2 1.0%

5-3 0.4%

5-4 0.2%

5-5 0.0%

Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (9.5%) 2-0 (7.0%) 1-0 (6.7%)

■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · Y=Home goals ↓ W=Away goals →

📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder

York City Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Woking Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.

📈 Team Ratings Grades

York City

Overall

8.0 ▲

Scoring

9.0 ▲

Defence

6.7 ▲

Woking

Overall

4.9 ▼

Scoring

5.7 ▼

Defence

5.0 ▼

🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%

Home Win & BTTS No 24%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 4%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%

Away Win & BTTS No 12%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 47%

Home Win & Under 2.5 12%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 2%

Away Win & Over 2.5 24%

Away Win & Under 2.5 6%

🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool

Your Bankroll (₦ or any currency)

Decimal Odds

Win Probability (%)

Fraction (0.25 = Quarter Kelly)

—

Kelly %

—

Stake Amount

—

Potential Profit

Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.

📜 Match Archives History Log

Head to Head

25.08.25

NL: Woking1

York City1

08.02.25

NL: York City3

Woking0

05.10.24

NL: Woking1

York City1

13.04.24

NL: York City2

Woking0

23.09.23

NL: Woking1

York City2

10.12.22

NL: Woking0

York City2

06.08.22

NL: York City2

Woking0

22.04.17

NL: Woking1

York City1

27.08.16

NL: York City4

Woking1

11.10.08

NL: Woking0

York City2

Recent Form

York City

24.03.26

NL: Gateshead3

York City1

21.03.26

NL: York City4

Brackley Town0

14.03.26

NL: Aldershot Town0

York City3

07.03.26

NL: York City3

Eastleigh1

03.03.26

NL: Boreham Wood3

York City2

28.02.26

NL: Morecambe0

York City1

24.02.26

NL: Scunthorpe0

York City3

21.02.26

NL: York City4

FC Halifax1

14.02.26

NL: Wealdstone0

York City3

11.02.26

NL: York City3

Hartlepool2

Woking

25.03.26

NL: Southend United1

Woking1

21.03.26

NL: Woking3

Aldershot Town2

17.03.26

NL: Woking1

Yeovil Town0

14.03.26

NL: Brackley Town1

Woking4

10.03.26

NL: Woking2

Boreham Wood2

07.03.26

NL: Woking3

Tamworth1

03.03.26

NL: Boston United2

Woking2

28.02.26

FAT: Marine1

Woking0

21.02.26

NL: Rochdale3

Woking0

17.02.26

NL: Sutton United2

Woking1

📝 Match Analysis Writeup

Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this National League game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.31 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

❓ Quick Answers FAQ

What is the recommended bet for York City vs Woking?

Our selection is 1 — York City to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 64%.

What is York City's current form?

York City have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.

How has Woking been performing recently?

Woking have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

York City lead with 7 wins versus Woking's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.

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