WON
Result: Simba 1-0 JKT Tanzania
DirectWinPredict Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Simba vs JKT Tanzania
S

Simba

Home Side
D W W W D
6W 4D 0L
VS
1-0
Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara
J
JKT Tanzania
Away Side
W L W D L
4W 3D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Simba to win — Wednesday, 6th May 2026
Best Odds 1.21
Confidence 68%
Implied Prob 82.6%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Simba to win
1.21
BTTS — No65%
Implied Prob
82.6%
Based on 1.21 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-14.6%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
9
Simba
0
Draws
1
JKT Tanzania
10
Meetings
20%
BTTS Rate
40%
Over 2.5
2.1
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Simba won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Simba
Metric
JKT Tanzania
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
50%
6-4-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
S0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.9%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.1%) 2-0 (10.9%) 2-1 (9.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   J=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Simba Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
JKT Tanzania Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Simba
Overall
7.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.0
JKT Tanzania
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.11.25LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba2
05.05.25LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
24.12.24LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
28.05.24LKB
Simba2
JKT Tanzania0
15.02.24LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba1
01.03.21LKB
Simba3
JKT Tanzania0
04.10.20LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Simba4
07.02.20LKB
Simba0
JKT Tanzania1
29.08.19LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Simba3
30.04.19LKB
Simba1
JKT Tanzania0
Recent Form
Simba
03.05.26LKB
Simba2
Young Africans2
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
W
15.04.26LKB
Fountain Gate0
Simba3
W
12.04.26FAC
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
W
09.04.26LKB
TRA United0
Simba0
D
05.04.26LKB
Azam0
Simba0
D
02.04.26LKB
Simba2
Coastal Union0
W
22.03.26LKB
Simba3
TRA United0
W
19.03.26LKB
Pamba1
Simba1
D
11.03.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Simba2
W
JKT Tanzania
30.04.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Kinondoni MC0
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
L
10.04.26FAC
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
W
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
25.02.26LKB
Young Africans5
JKT Tanzania0
L
13.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Coastal Union1
D
09.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania1
Mashujaa0
W
02.02.26LKB
JKT Tanzania3
Pamba0
W
30.01.26LKB
JKT Tanzania0
Dodoma Jiji1
L
25.01.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
JKT Tanzania0
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 6th May 2026, Simba host JKT Tanzania in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Simba to win as the standout selection.

Simba arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

JKT Tanzania are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Simba, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to JKT Tanzania's 1, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: simba to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.21 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Simba vs JKT Tanzania?
Our selection is 1 — Simba to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Simba's current form?
Simba have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has JKT Tanzania been performing recently?
JKT Tanzania have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Simba lead with 9 wins versus JKT Tanzania's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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