LOST
Result:
Qatar SC 2-0 Al Gharafa
Q
Qatar SC
Home Side
W
L
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L
VS
2-0
A
Al Gharafa
Away Side
W
L
L
W
L
2W 0D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Thursday, 12th March 2026
Best Odds
1.45
Confidence
91%
Implied Prob
69%
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals70%
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Implied Prob
69%
Based on 1.45 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
+22%
Value exists
Kelly Stake %
71%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head
Record
2
Qatar SC
0
Draws
3
Al Gharafa
5
Meetings
100%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick
Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
Key Stats Duel
Comparison
Qatar SC
Metric
Al Gharafa
2.6
Goals For / Game
1
2.2
Goals Against / Game
2.4
0%
Clean Sheet %
20%
2-2-1
W — D — L
2-0-3
Win Rate Comparison
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
Q0
0-0
1.7%
0-1
2.7%
0-2
2.1%
0-3
1.1%
0-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
Q1
1-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
Q2
2-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
Q3
3-0
4.3%
3-1
6.9%
3-2
5.5%
3-3
3.0%
3-4
1.2%
3-5
0.4%
Q4
4-0
2.7%
4-1
4.3%
4-2
3.5%
4-3
1.8%
4-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
Q5
5-0
1.4%
5-1
2.2%
5-2
1.7%
5-3
0.9%
5-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
Top Predicted Scores
2-1 (8.3%)
3-1 (6.9%)
1-1 (6.6%)
■ Most likely (tip)
■ Possible (tip)
■ Low (tip) · ■ Contradicts tip
Poisson model · Q=Home goals ↓ A=Away goals →
Team Ratings
Grades
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Home Win & BTTS No
16%
Draw & BTTS Yes
12%
Draw & BTTS No
8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
24%
Away Win & BTTS No
16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
28%
Home Win & Under 2.5
12%
Draw & Over 2.5
14%
Draw & Under 2.5
6%
Away Win & Over 2.5
28%
Away Win & Under 2.5
12%
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake Amount
—
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
Match Archives
History Log
Head to Head
⚽ QSC (19.01.26): Qatar SC3
Al-Gharafa2
⚽ QSL (07.11.25): Al-Gharafa2
Qatar SC1
⚽ QSL (22.02.25): Al-Gharafa4
Qatar SC2
⚽ QSL (22.09.24): Qatar SC1
Al-Gharafa3
⚽ EMI (19.05.24): Al-Gharafa2
Qatar SC3
Recent Form
Qatar SC
⚽ QSL (20.02.26): Al-Shahaniya3
Qatar SC4
⚽ EMI (13.02.26): Al-Shamal2
Qatar SC1
⚽ QSL (06.02.26): Qatar SC3
Al Rayyan3
⚽ QSL (31.01.26): Al Ahli Doha1
Qatar SC3
⚽ QSC (26.01.26): Al Arabi2
Qatar SC (12-11)2
Al Gharafa
⚽ QSL (26.02.26): Al-Gharafa3
Al Rayyan2
⚽ QSL (22.02.26): Al-Gharafa0
Al-Shamal1
⚽ CL (17.02.26): Al-Gharafa0
Tractor2
⚽ EMI (14.02.26): Al-Gharafa2
Al-Kharitiyath0
⚽ CL (10.02.26): Al Ittihad7
Al-Gharafa0
Match Analysis
Writeup
When you look at the recent setups for both sides, expect absolute fireworks. Qatar SC has been averaging well over two goals per game at home, and Al Gharafa isn’t exactly shy in the final third either. Al Gharafa leads the historical H2H by a mile, but Qatar SC’s current attacking form makes them incredibly dangerous on the break. This is a crucial must-win for Al Gharafa if they want to maintain their momentum near the top of the Stars League, which guarantees an open, attacking game from the first whistle.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 91%.
What is Qatar SC's current form?
Qatar SC have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Al Gharafa been performing recently?
Al Gharafa have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Qatar SC lead with 2 wins versus Al Gharafa's 3, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.