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Result: Portugal 1-1 D.R. Congo
DirectWinPredict World Cup 2026 Portugal vs D.R. Congo
P

Portugal

Home Side
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L
VS
1-1
World Cup 2026
D
D.R. Congo
Away Side
L D W W L
5W 3D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Portugal to win — Wednesday, 17th June 2026
Best Odds 1.32
Confidence 58%
Implied Prob 75.8%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Portugal to win
1.32
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
75.8%
Based on 1.32 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-17.8%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
Neutral Data No head-to-head data on record.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Portugal
Metric
D.R. Congo
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.5
40%
Clean Sheet %
60%
7-2-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate Comparison
70%
50%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
P0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (11.5%) 2-1 (9.4%) 2-0 (8.9%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · P=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Portugal Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
D.R. Congo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Portugal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
D.R. Congo
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.3
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Portugal
10.06.26FI
Portugal2
Nigeria1
W
06.06.26FI
Portugal2
Chile1
W
01.04.26FI
USA0
Portugal2
W
29.03.26FI
Mexico0
Portugal0
D
16.11.25WC
Portugal9
Armenia1
W
13.11.25WC
Ireland2
Portugal0
L
14.10.25WC
Portugal2
Hungary2
D
11.10.25WC
Portugal1
Ireland0
W
09.09.25WC
Hungary2
Portugal3
W
06.09.25WC
Armenia0
Portugal5
W
D.R. Congo
09.06.26FI
D.R. Congo1
Chile2
L
03.06.26FI
D.R. Congo0
Denmark0
D
31.03.26WC
D.R. Congo1
Jamaica0
W
25.03.26FI
D.R. Congo2
Bermuda0
W
06.01.26ACN
Algeria1
D.R. Congo0
L
30.12.25ACN
Botswana0
D.R. Congo3
W
27.12.25ACN
D.R. Congo1
Senegal1
D
23.12.25ACN
D.R. Congo1
Benin0
W
16.12.25FI
D.R. Congo2
Zambia0
W
16.11.25WC
D.R. Congo1
Nigeria (pen 4-3)1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Portugal host D.R. Congo in World Cup 2026. We recommend Portugal to win as the standout selection.

Portugal arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

D.R. Congo are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: portugal to win at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this World Cup 2026 game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.32 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Portugal vs D.R. Congo?
Our selection is 1 — Portugal to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Portugal's current form?
Portugal have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has D.R. Congo been performing recently?
D.R. Congo have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
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