WON
Result: Molodechno 1-4 Bate
DirectWinPredict Belarus Cup Molodechno vs Bate
M

Molodechno

Home Side
L L D W W
4W 1D 5L
VS
1-4
Belarus Cup
B
Bate
Away Side
D D D D W
1W 6D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
2
Backing Bate to win — Wednesday, 17th June 2026
Best Odds 1.39
Confidence 48%
Implied Prob 71.9%
H
20%
D
30%
A
50%
Head to Head Record
1
Molodechno
0
Draws
9
Bate
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Bate won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Molodechno
Metric
Bate
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheet %
30%
4-1-5
W — D — L
1-6-3
Win Rate Comparison
40%
10%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 11.2%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 3.2%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 9.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 2.8%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 0-1 (11.2%) 1-2 (8.4%) 0-2 (7.3%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · M=Home goals ↓   B=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Molodechno Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Bate Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Molodechno
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
3.7
Bate
Overall
2.8
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
16.08.25VL
BATE2
Molodechno1
05.04.25VL
Molodechno0
BATE1
11.02.23CF
BATE5
Molodechno0
02.08.03VL
Molodechno1
BATE4
15.05.03VL
BATE3
Molodechno2
25.10.01VL
Molodechno2
BATE1
19.10.01VL
BATE4
Molodechno0
30.06.01VL
BATE4
Molodechno3
17.06.01VL
Molodechno1
BATE3
30.07.99VL
BATE2
Molodechno1
Recent Form
Molodechno
13.06.26PL
Molodechno1
SKA-19384
L
07.06.26PL
Slutsk2
Molodechno1
L
01.06.26PL
Molodechno1
Din. Minsk 21
D
27.05.26CUP
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
W
23.05.26PL
Ostrovets2
Molodechno3
W
16.05.26PL
Molodechno1
FC Slonim0
W
08.05.26PL
BATE 22
Molodechno3
W
02.05.26PL
Molodechno0
Uni X Labs1
L
26.04.26PL
Soligorsk5
Molodechno0
L
20.04.26PL
FC Gomel 22
Molodechno0
L
Bate
12.06.26VL
Belshina1
BATE1
D
31.05.26VL
BATE1
Dnepr Mogilev1
D
24.05.26VL
Slavia Mozyr1
BATE1
D
20.05.26VL
BATE0
Din. Minsk0
D
16.05.26CUP
Din. Minsk1
BATE (pen 7-8)1
W
10.05.26VL
Naftan0
BATE0
D
03.05.26VL
BATE0
Dynamo Brest3
L
29.04.26CUP
BATE2
Slavia Mozyr0
W
24.04.26VL
FC Minsk1
BATE0
L
19.04.26VL
BATE1
ML Vitebsk2
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Molodechno host Bate in Belarus Cup. We recommend Bate to win as the standout selection.

Molodechno arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bate are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 6D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Molodechno, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Bate's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: bate to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Belarus Cup game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 2, and it looks even better when you see the @1.39 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Molodechno vs Bate?
Our selection is 2 — Bate to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Molodechno's current form?
Molodechno have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bate been performing recently?
Bate have recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Molodechno lead with 1 wins versus Bate's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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