WON
Result: Kalju 1-2 Tammeka
DirectWinPredict Estonia Meistriliiga Kalju vs Tammeka
K

Kalju

Home Side
D L W W L
4W 2D 4L
VS
1-2
Estonia Meistriliiga
T
Tammeka
Away Side
D L W W W
3W 2D 5L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Kalju to win — Wednesday, 17th June 2026
Best Odds 1.38
Confidence 55%
Implied Prob 72.5%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Head to Head Record
8
Kalju
2
Draws
0
Tammeka
10
Meetings
70%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Kalju won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Kalju
Metric
Tammeka
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheet %
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate Comparison
40%
30%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.5%) 2-0 (10.5%) 2-1 (9.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · K=Home goals ↓   T=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Kalju Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tammeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Kalju
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.7
Tammeka
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.03.26ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
02.11.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka1
03.08.25ML
Tammeka1
Kalju3
10.05.25ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
16.03.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka2
29.09.24ML
Tammeka2
Kalju3
27.07.24ML
Kalju3
Tammeka0
28.06.24ML
Tammeka1
Kalju1
03.05.24ML
Kalju4
Tammeka2
23.09.23ML
Kalju4
Tammeka1
Recent Form
Kalju
14.06.26ML
Kalju1
Paide1
D
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
L
20.05.26ML
Kalju1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
L
01.05.26ML
Narva0
Kalju3
W
26.04.26ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
22.04.26ML
Kalju7
Nomme Utd1
W
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
Tammeka
13.06.26ML
Tammeka0
Parnu JK Vaprus0
D
30.05.26ML
Tammeka0
Levadia1
L
15.05.26ML
Tammeka3
Nomme Utd1
W
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
W
01.05.26ML
Paide0
Tammeka1
W
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
L
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
L
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Paide4
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Kalju host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Kalju to win as the standout selection.

Kalju arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tammeka are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kalju, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kalju to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Finding a winning bet is all about looking past the obvious names on the team sheets, and this Estonia Meistriliiga game is a great spot for smart money. You have to drop your personal favorites and let the cold, hard facts guide where you put your cash. The home team’s starting odds based on their whole season, but we always like to look a lot closer.

Their last few games show the absolute truth about their scoring power and their current defensive struggles. We do the exact same thing for the visitors to make sure nothing is missed. By matching up their long-term record with their recent form, we can see if the betting markets are heavily underestimating them today.

It is also super important to look at past meetings between the two clubs. Sometimes, one team simply knows exactly how to beat the other, and past results show that clearly if you bother to look. When you put that history right next to current form, the right bet practically jumps off the page.

The standout choice for us is 1, and it looks even better when you see the @1.38 odds. We have done all the heavy math, and now we just wait for the final whistle to prove it. Do not miss out on the other daily predictions we have up today.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kalju vs Tammeka?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Kalju's current form?
Kalju have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tammeka been performing recently?
Tammeka have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kalju lead with 8 wins versus Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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