PENDING
Result: Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik
H

HB Torshavn

Home Side
L L W W L
4W 1D 5L
VS
6:30 pm
Faroe Islands PL
N
NSI Runavik
Away Side
W L W D D
3W 3D 2L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals — Monday, 3rd August 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 18%
Implied Prob 84.7%
Head to Head Record
7
HB Torshavn
0
Draws
3
NSI Runavik
10
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
90%
Over 2.5
4.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
NSI Runavik
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheet %
38%
4-1-5
W — D — L
3-3-2
Win Rate Comparison
40%
38%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 6.1%
0-3 3.4%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.5%
H1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 8.9%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.7%
H2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.6%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.5%
H3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-1 (10.8%) 1-2 (8.9%) 2-1 (7.8%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · H=Home goals ↓   N=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.0
NSI Runavik
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.8
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
19.10.25PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik0
25.05.25PL
NSI Runavik1
HB Torshavn4
03.05.25PL
HB Torshavn1
NSI Runavik7
27.08.24PL
NSI Runavik3
HB Torshavn2
02.06.24PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn3
10.03.24PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik2
22.10.22PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
19.06.22PL
NSI Runavik0
HB Torshavn2
13.03.22PL
HB Torshavn5
NSI Runavik1
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
23.07.26UECL
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
W
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
25.06.26CUP
Vikingur4
HB Torshavn0
L
21.06.26PL
B36 Torshavn0
HB Torshavn3
W
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
L
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
26.05.26PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
W
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
NSI Runavik
23.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
L
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
09.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
D
03.07.26PL
NSI Runavik0
Klaksvik0
D
29.06.26PL
Vikingur3
NSI Runavik3
D
20.06.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Toftir0
W
13.06.26PL
NSI Runavik3
B36 Torshavn0
W
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
L
HB Torshavn (Home)
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
NSI Runavik (Away)
16.07.26UECL
Hamrun1
NSI Runavik2
W
29.06.26PL
Vikingur3
NSI Runavik3
D
30.05.26PL
AB Argir3
NSI Runavik2
L
25.05.26PL
Streymur0
NSI Runavik1
W
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
W
13.05.26CUP
Klaksvik4
NSI Runavik2
L
04.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn2
NSI Runavik0
L
30.04.26CUP
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
NSI Runavik4
W
26.04.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag3
NSI Runavik3
D
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, HB Torshavn host NSI Runavik at Gundadalur (Torshavn) in Faroe Islands PL. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

HB Torshavn arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

NSI Runavik are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 2L across 8 matches.

Historical meetings favour HB Torshavn, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to NSI Runavik's 3, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Faroe Islands PL preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Gundadalur (Torshavn), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 1.5, priced at @1.18, which the numbers settle at around Over 1.5%. The whistle goes at 6:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 18%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has NSI Runavik been performing recently?
NSI Runavik have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 8 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 7 wins versus NSI Runavik's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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