PENDING
Result: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
DirectWinPredict Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka
S

Shakhtar Donetsk

Home Side
D D W D W
5W 3D 2L
VS
4:00 pm
Ukraine Premier League
K
Kudrivka
Away Side
W L W L W
5W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals — Monday, 3rd August 2026
Best Odds 1.42
Confidence 74%
Implied Prob 70.4%
Head to Head Record
2
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
Draws
0
Kudrivka
2
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
100%
Over 2.5
4
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metric
Kudrivka
2
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheet %
44%
5-3-2
W — D — L
5-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
50%
56%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
S0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.4%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (12.5%) 1-1 (11.9%) 2-0 (10.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · S=Home goals ↓   K=Away goals →
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Shakhtar Donetsk
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.3
Kudrivka
Overall
5.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.9
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
26.04.26PL
Kudrivka1
Shakhtar Donetsk3
26.10.25PL
Shakhtar Donetsk4
Kudrivka0
Recent Form
Shakhtar Donetsk
26.07.26CF
Bursaspor0
Shakhtar Donetsk0
D
25.07.26CF
Shakhtar Donetsk0
Al-Ula0
D
23.07.26CF
Gorica0
Shakhtar Donetsk2
W
21.07.26CF
Slaven Belupo2
Shakhtar Donetsk2
D
19.07.26CF
Rudes0
Shakhtar Donetsk5
W
21.05.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk0
Kolos Kovalivka1
L
17.05.26PL
Kryvbas2
Shakhtar Donetsk3
W
13.05.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk3
Obolon1
W
10.05.26PL
SC Poltava0
Shakhtar Donetsk4
W
07.05.26UECL
Crystal Palace2
Shakhtar Donetsk1
L
Kudrivka
24.07.26CF
Obolon0
Kudrivka1
W
17.07.26CF
Kolos Kovalivka2
Kudrivka0
L
15.07.26CF
Kudrivka2
Kolos Kovalivka 20
W
11.07.26CF
Livyi Bereg4
Kudrivka0
L
10.07.26CF
Kudrivka2
Rebel Kyiv1
W
05.06.26PL
Kudrivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk0
D
24.05.26PL
Dyn. Kyiv3
Kudrivka2
L
18.05.26PL
Kudrivka1
LNZ Cherkasy0
W
14.05.26PL
Kudrivka2
Rukh Lviv1
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Shakhtar Donetsk host Kudrivka at Arena Lviv (Lviv) in Ukraine Premier League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Shakhtar Donetsk arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kudrivka are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 3L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shakhtar Donetsk, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Kudrivka's 0, with 0 draws from 2 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Ukraine Premier League preview lives.

The home team strides in on 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Arena Lviv (Lviv), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is Over 2.5, priced at @1.42, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 4:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 74%.
What is Shakhtar Donetsk's current form?
Shakhtar Donetsk have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kudrivka been performing recently?
Kudrivka have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shakhtar Donetsk lead with 2 wins versus Kudrivka's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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