PENDING
Result: 1 — Celtic to win
DirectWinPredict Scotland Premiership Celtic vs Dundee FC
C

Celtic

Home Side
D D L D W
6W 3D 1L
VS
7:30 pm
Scotland Premiership
D
Dundee FC
Away Side
W L L W W
5W 1D 3L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing Celtic to win — Monday, 3rd August 2026
Best Odds 1.18
Confidence 61%
Implied Prob 84.7%
H
50%
D
30%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Celtic to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals79% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes78%
Implied Prob
84.7%
Based on 1.18 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-23.7%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
8
Celtic
1
Draws
1
Dundee FC
10
Meetings
50%
BTTS Rate
70%
Over 2.5
3.7
Avg Goals
Supports Pick Celtic won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
Celtic
Metric
Dundee FC
2.2
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheet %
22%
6-3-1
W — D — L
5-1-3
Win Rate Comparison
60%
56%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
C0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 1.2%
0-5 0.4%
C1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 8.3%
1-2 7.7%
1-3 4.7%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 0.8%
C2
2-0 4.2%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
C3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.5%
C4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Predicted Scores 2-1 (7.9%) 3-1 (5.0%) 3-2 (4.6%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · C=Home goals ↓   D=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
Celtic Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Dundee FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
Celtic
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
5.0
Dundee FC
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.4
Defence
4.8
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 32%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
05.04.26PRE
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
07.02.26SC
Celtic2
Dundee FC (AET)1
03.12.25PRE
Celtic1
Dundee FC0
19.10.25PRE
Dundee FC2
Celtic0
05.02.25PRE
Celtic6
Dundee FC0
14.01.25PRE
Dundee FC3
Celtic3
30.10.24PRE
Celtic2
Dundee FC0
28.04.24PRE
Dundee FC1
Celtic2
28.02.24PRE
Celtic7
Dundee FC1
26.12.23PRE
Dundee FC0
Celtic3
Recent Form
Celtic
25.07.26CF
Celtic2
AC Milan2
D
18.07.26CF
Celtic1
Middlesbrough1
D
14.07.26CF
Sporting CP4
Celtic1
L
07.07.26CF
Shelbourne1
Celtic1
D
23.05.26SC
Celtic3
Dunfermline1
W
16.05.26PRE
Celtic3
Hearts1
W
13.05.26PRE
Motherwell2
Celtic3
W
10.05.26PRE
Celtic3
Rangers1
W
03.05.26PRE
Hibernian1
Celtic2
W
25.04.26PRE
Celtic3
Falkirk1
W
Dundee FC
25.07.26LC
Dundee FC4
Clyde0
W
18.07.26CF
Dundee FC0
Everton4
L
14.07.26LC
Annan0
Dundee FC5
W
11.07.26LC
Dundee FC4
Airdrieonians2
W
08.07.26CF
Brechin1
Dundee FC1
D
04.07.26CF
Dundee FC1
Maccabi Haifa2
L
02.07.26CF
Paks1
Dundee FC2
W
27.06.26CF
Livingston2
Dundee FC0
L
17.05.26PRE
Dundee FC3
Aberdeen2
W
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Monday, 3rd August 2026, Celtic host Dundee FC at Celtic Park (Glasgow) in Scotland Premiership. We recommend Celtic to win as the standout selection.

Celtic arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Dundee FC are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 3L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Celtic, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Dundee FC's 1, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: celtic to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Scotland Premiership preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at Celtic Park (Glasgow), and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.18, which the numbers settle at around 80%. The whistle goes at 7:30 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celtic vs Dundee FC?
Our selection is 1 — Celtic to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Celtic's current form?
Celtic have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dundee FC been performing recently?
Dundee FC have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Celtic lead with 8 wins versus Dundee FC's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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