PENDING
Result: 1 — FAR Rabat to win
DirectWinPredict Morocco Coupe Du Trone FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain
F

FAR Rabat

Home Side
D L D D W
3W 6D 1L
VS
8:00 pm
Morocco Coupe Du Trone
S
Stade Marocain
Away Side
L L W W W
6W 0D 4L
DirectWinPredict Verdict
1
Backing FAR Rabat to win — Wednesday, 8th July 2026
Best Odds 1.17
Confidence 51%
Implied Prob 85.5%
H
60%
D
20%
A
20%
Supporting Bets Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FAR Rabat to win
1.17
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No65% Stade Marocain Clean Sheet60%
Implied Prob
85.5%
Based on 1.17 odds
Edge vs Bookmaker
-34.5%
Overpriced
Kelly Stake %
0%
Suggested % of bankroll
Head to Head Record
3
FAR Rabat
1
Draws
1
Stade Marocain
5
Meetings
80%
BTTS Rate
80%
Over 2.5
3.6
Avg Goals
Supports Pick FAR Rabat won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊 Key Stats Duel Comparison
FAR Rabat
Metric
Stade Marocain
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.4
30%
Clean Sheet %
60%
3-6-1
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate Comparison
30%
60%
🎯 Score Probability Matrix Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
F0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 14.9%
0-2 6.7%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 14.9%
1-1 13.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
F2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 6.0%
2-2 2.7%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 1.8%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.4%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Predicted Scores 1-0 (14.9%) 2-0 (6.7%) 2-1 (6.0%)
■ Most likely (tip) ■ Possible (tip) ■ Low (tip)  ·  ■ Contradicts tip Poisson model · F=Home goals ↓   S=Away goals →
📉 Market Odds Intelligence Value Finder
FAR Rabat Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Stade Marocain Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare with bookmaker lines for value.
📈 Team Ratings Grades
FAR Rabat
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.3
Stade Marocain
Overall
6.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
8.7
🔀 Combination Markets Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 19%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 38%
🧮 Stake Calculator Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake Amount
Potential Profit
Kelly Criterion helps size bets to maximise long-run bankroll growth. Use Quarter or Half Kelly for safer, reduced-variance staking. This is a tool, not financial advice.
📜 Match Archives History Log
Head to Head
28.03.23COU
FAR Rabat3
Stade Marocain1
27.08.17COU
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain2
23.08.17COU
Stade Marocain2
FAR Rabat3
17.03.02BOT
Stade Marocain2
FAR Rabat1
28.10.01BOT
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain0
Recent Form
FAR Rabat
05.07.26BOT
FAR Rabat0
Renaissance Zemamra0
D
02.07.26BOT
COD Meknes3
FAR Rabat2
L
28.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Union Touarga2
D
25.06.26BOT
Berkane2
FAR Rabat2
D
21.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Kawkab Marrakech0
W
18.06.26BOT
Dcheira1
FAR Rabat1
D
14.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Wydad AC1
W
09.06.26BOT
Maghreb Fez0
FAR Rabat0
D
04.06.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
30.05.26BOT
FUS Rabat1
FAR Rabat1
D
Stade Marocain
05.07.26B2
Moghreb Tetouan1
Stade Marocain0
L
27.06.26B2
Stade Marocain0
Widad Temara1
L
20.06.26B2
Chabab Mohammedia0
Stade Marocain1
W
14.06.26B2
Stade Marocain1
Jeunesse Massira0
W
06.06.26B2
US Boujaad0
Stade Marocain1
W
24.05.26B2
Stade Marocain2
Wydad Fes0
W
10.05.26B2
RAC Casablanca0
Stade Marocain1
W
03.05.26B2
Chabab Benguerir1
Stade Marocain0
L
26.04.26B2
Stade Marocain1
USM Oujda0
W
04.04.26B2
KAC Kenitra1
Stade Marocain0
L
📝 Match Analysis Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, FAR Rabat host Stade Marocain at N/A in Morocco Coupe Du Trone. We recommend FAR Rabat to win as the standout selection.

FAR Rabat arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Stade Marocain are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour FAR Rabat, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Stade Marocain's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: far rabat to win at odds of 1.17 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


The most useful habit in football betting is also the simplest: update your view based on what is actually happening, not on what used to be true. Reputations lag reality, and reality is where this Morocco Coupe Du Trone preview lives.

The home team strides in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We are interested less in the bare results and more in what they reveal about the current side. Is the attack clicking, carving out clear chances, or scratching around for half-openings? Is the defence organised, or has it been holding on with its fingertips? Those answers shape everything about how this plays out at N/A, and they sit in the recent matches rather than the season-long summary.

The away side arrives carrying 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. The road is the great revealer in this game. Confidence, intensity, the way a team responds to falling behind in a hostile ground — all of it shows up clearly in recent away outings, and all of it is easy to miss if you only glance at the league position. We did not glance. We looked.

Bring the two halves together and a structural edge appears, the kind that is there for anyone willing to do the reading. Our position is 1, priced at @1.17, which the numbers settle at around 60,20,20%. The whistle goes at 8:00 pm.

That is our weight of opinion, evidence and all. The temptation in a fixture like this is to trust the bigger reputation, but reputations are slow to update and form is not — and that lag is precisely where the value tends to hide. Do not leave without scanning the other fixtures we have broken down today — the value rarely sits in just one place.

Quick Answers FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain?
Our selection is 1 — FAR Rabat to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is FAR Rabat's current form?
FAR Rabat have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stade Marocain been performing recently?
Stade Marocain have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FAR Rabat lead with 3 wins versus Stade Marocain's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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